Arquivo da tag: Mortalidade associada ao calor

Giant ‘heat storms’ are scorching the Earth. This is the story of the biggest one on record. (Reuters)

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THE AGE OF HEAT STORMS   |   A REUTERS SERIES
Supersized heat waves used to be rare. No longer. A Reuters data-driven examination of global temperatures reveals the emergence of what we call ‘heat storms.’ They now swarm the planet, upending life around the world from Texas to Ivory Coast to Poland.

Firefighters battle Europe’s largest wildfire on record, which spread during a heat storm in summer 2023 in Greece’s Dadia National Park. REUTERS/Alexandros Avramidis

By MAURICE TAMMAN, BEN WELSH, PETE MCKENZIE, CHARLIE SZYMANSKI, DELGERZAYA DELGERJARGAL, ROBBIE COREY-BOULET, LOUCOUMANE COULIBALY, JEFF HORWITZ and JOAN FAUS

Filed Oct. 20, 2026, 6 a.m. GMT

Maps illustrate the growing size and reach of heat storms across the globe.

In less than a lifetime, about six and a half decades, heat waves have evolved from sporadic, isolated episodes to massive, cascading weather events that can blanket vast swaths of the planet for months or even years at a time.

The largest heat wave of the 1960s reached about 6% of the planet as it drifted for 46 days over the Atlantic Ocean, parts of Latin America and West Africa.

The largest one this decade swept across almost 85% of the globe during its 367-day lifetime, stretching into the polar latitudes and touching virtually every human being on Earth.

An animation shows a heat wave moving around the mid-Atlantic, spanning areas between Central America and West Africa.

To continue calling such sprawling phenomena “heat waves” would be like calling a monsoon a rain shower. To understand the new reality of these immense expanses of heat, Reuters consulted with two dozen meteorologists and climate researchers – and analyzed temperatures for every hour of every day since 1960 for more than one million grid squares covering the entire globe. Out of those results we developed a new concept: the “heat storm.”

Simply put, heat storms are supersized heat waves. Reuters uses a conservative benchmark to define an ordinary heat wave: five or more consecutive days of abnormally high temperatures. Then we define the largest heat waves – those that at their peak cover at least 1% of the globe, roughly half the size of Canada – as heat storms.

Applying this definition, Reuters identified a startling transformation. Heat storms were rare in the 1960s, when they averaged about five active storms per year. This decade, heat storms have swarmed the planet, averaging about 102 a year.

One of them caused this summer’s deadly heat in Europe, notching the highest June temperatures ever recorded in Bordeaux, Budapest, and Bilbao, the latter of which hit 108.9 degrees Fahrenheit. (Show Celsius.) Roasting Europe for most of June and July, the heat storm warped steel railroad tracks, drove what European governments estimated were more than 10,000 excess deaths in a single week, and prompted Belgian zookeepers to cool their tigers by feeding them raw meat encased in ice.

The largest heat storm on record – the one that lasted for 367 days over 2023-2024 and reached almost 85% of the globe – sent temperatures in parts of the Philippines up to 100.5 F, immiserating students in the country’s mostly unairconditioned schools. In Manila, math teacher Joel Arrojado recalled a student who was face-down at his desk, crying. When Arrojado coaxed the boy into looking up, Arrojado saw his face and chest covered in blood. The boy, Arrojado said, had suffered a spontaneous nosebleed, a common problem in extreme heat. As more blood pumped from his nostrils, Arrojado recalled, the child pleaded with Arrojado to call his mother.

As the same heat storm encased southern Louisiana for months, it exacerbated a historic drought. The state burned, suffering what the governor called “the worst wildfire we’ve seen since at least the Second World War” – and close to 600 other fires in August alone. Two months later, smoke from a smoldering marsh fire developed into a blinding “super fog” that caused a highway pile-up of at least 158 cars, killing seven people.

The same heat storm helped fuel a 2023 Mediterranean cyclone that dropped massive rains over Libya. In the dead of night, two dams burst near the coastal town of Derna, washing away entire neighborhoods. A week later, on her hands and knees, Sabreen Blil clawed with her bare hands at the rubble of her brother’s house, hoping to dig out the dead. As she wept, she recited their names. “Taym, Yazan, Luqman, Salmah, Tumador, Hakim and his wife. Oh my God. My family, where are you?” she wailed. “Oh God. Even just one – my God – just let me find even one body.”

During the annual Hajj pilgrimage in Saudi Arabia, the heat storm drove temperatures at Mecca’s Grand Mosque to 125.2 F, killing more than 1,300 pilgrims. Bodies lay in the streets. And as Europe’s largest recorded fire spread in Greece during the span of that same heat storm, the inferno killed migrants traversing the thick Dadia forest. Their corpses remained in the woods for days; even the vultures that might have fed on the bodies had fled the flames.

These far-flung and seemingly unrelated catastrophes all shared a common connection: one single heat storm.

After heat storms battered Bolivia in October 2023, Lake Titicaca, one of South America’s largest lakes, edged towards record low levels. REUTERS/Claudia Morales

Heat storms inflict “a major disruption to global civilization,” said James Renwick, professor of physical geography at New Zealand’s Victoria University of Wellington. “Heat is the biggest killer from climate change,” he said, noting that it can lead to “famine, hunger, death, conflict over resources.”

Heat storms constitute a new way to conceptualize how Earth’s climate is changing as humanity pumps greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.

The determination by climatologists that the average global temperature in 2025 was 2.6 F above the pre-industrial level is useful to scientists and policymakers, but to many people it’s so abstract as to be meaningless. What people do understand are heat waves – in Spanish, an “ola de calor”; in Arabic, a “mawjat hararia”; in Mandarin, a “rè làng.”

Yet no universal definition of a heat wave exists. For example, authorities differ over duration: The US National Weather Service defines a heat wave as “abnormally and uncomfortably hot” weather typically lasting “two or more days,” while the meteorological agencies of Australia, France, Spain and the United Kingdom set the threshold at three days. Some of those countries also have different rules for what temperatures qualify as a heat wave.

Moreover, what constitutes a heat wave in Anchorage, Alaska, would not be considered a heat wave in Kuwait City. The climate in those places differs sharply, and a heat wave is an unusual period of hot weather for a particular place.

Heat storms intensify wildfires. Here, a tree burned in Mandra, Greece, in July 2023, when heat storms struck the area for most of that month. REUTERS/Louiza Vradi
Volunteers gave water to a sheep saved from a burning farm during a wildfire in the village of Hasia, near Athens, in August 2023. REUTERS/Alkis Konstantinidis
A man walked on the cracked ground of a reservoir that was drying up during the extreme drought in Catalonia, Spain, in 2023. REUTERS/Nacho Doce

Such dueling definitions made it all but impossible to gauge whether heat waves are more common globally now than in the past. But the system Reuters has devised delivers the precision needed to do so.

We began by determining the historical temperature range for each day of the year from 1961 to 1990 for each of 1.04 million grid squares around the globe. The temperature data comes from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and our detailed methodology is here. A heat wave occurs when the daily high temperature for any location reaches at least the 90th percentile of the historical range – in other words, the hottest 10% – for five days in a row.

So a July heat wave in Istanbul is five or more consecutive days of at least 78.1 F, whereas one in Phoenix, Arizona, needs to reach 104.5 F.

Heat storms constitute a new way to conceptualize how Earth’s climate is changing.

In Reuters’ definition, a heat wave can happen in any season, so in Istanbul a January heat wave would be five consecutive days of at least 52.2 F, and in Phoenix the threshold would be 69.4 F.

To measure the geographical extent of heat waves, we map neighboring heat wave grid squares that form a cohesive area. Because very large heat waves exert an expanding effect on the planet’s rising temperatures, Reuters created a further definition: If at any point a heat wave covers 1% of the planet, we designate it a heat storm and give it a name, as is done with tropical storms and hurricanes.

Naming events is “a powerful way for people to understand that something is happening,” Anthony Leiserowitz, director of the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, told Reuters. Yet “we don’t currently do that with heat waves,” he said, even though heat has been estimated to kill almost half a million people a year. Defining and naming heat storms is an important innovation, he added, and could help people to track impacts and consequences.

As their numbers have swelled over the decades, heat storms and heat waves have not only caused individual catastrophes. They have also helped drive lasting, systemic effects.

They exacerbate droughts and intensify fires – from Chile to Europe, the largest conflagrations on record happened during heat storms — and if they hit while a woman is pregnant, studies have found that she’s more likely to suffer everything from stillbirth to preeclampsia, a leading killer of expecting and post-partum women.

Warmer temperatures can usher in benefits, at least for some regions. Siberia now produces almost as much wheat as Russia’s traditional breadbasket near the Black Sea. That’s in part because increasing heat storms and heat waves have helped open far northern latitudes to agriculture while simultaneously contributing to droughts around the Black Sea that reduce production there.

Heat storms and their consequences, explained by Reuters investigative reporter Maurice Tamman.

Tens of thousands of ordinary heat waves flicker in and out of existence every year. Like heat storms, they too have escalated in number, more than doubling from the 1960s to this decade. The vast majority are small, however, never even covering 0.01% of the planet, about the size of a square that you could drive across in less than two and a half hours. Only a minuscule fraction of heat waves ever gets big enough to become heat storms, which currently number about 102 annually.

Yet heat storms now claim the lion’s share of Earth’s unusually hot days, those in the top tenth of the historical range. In the 1960s, heat storms averaged 3% a year for any given spot on the planet. (The remainder comprised ordinary heat waves and short bursts of heat that didn’t last long enough to become a heat wave.)

This decade, heat storms have accounted for almost 43% of such days.

This basic pattern recurs in cities around the world.

As greenhouse gas emissions have increased, so too have heat storms and ordinary heat waves. From the 1960s to this decade, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by more than 30%. Over that time, the average portion of the planet likely to be covered by heat storms and heat waves has risen more than 12-fold. El Niño – the periodic episodes of unusually warm water in the Pacific Ocean that drive major weather patterns – has acted as an accelerant, intensifying heat storms and heat waves.

Reuters has also examined the opposite of heat waves and heat storms – cold snaps and cold storms. They have dwindled. From the 1960s to this decade, the total area in a cold snap or cold storm on an average winter day has shrunk by almost 80%.

Despite their mammoth scale, the phenomenon of heat storms has been largely invisible to the public. Until recent decades, heat storms were rarer and smaller, so easier to overlook.

But perhaps as importantly, they hadn’t been defined and named in the sharp way that typhoons and hurricanes are. Yes, people in Montreal, Perth and Hong Kong knew they were baking in a stretch of hot days – but they did not know that they were all experiencing one unitary heat storm.

Reuters Heat Storm Tracker: Follow the extreme events reshaping our world

As part of this series examining heat storms and their effects, Reuters has integrated an online Heat Storm Tracker into our regular weather coverage. With this tool, people can see what had previously gone unnoticed and, using that knowledge, tally the impact of heat storms as they rage across regions.

The rapid evolution of heat has not only made individual heat storms larger. Now, in sharp contrast to even 20 years ago, massive heat storms often run into, merge with, and split off from one another. What has become common are heat storms that run consecutively, simultaneously or both – heat storm cascades.

The duration of these cascades swelled from an average of roughly two months in the 1960s to nine months in the first part of the 2000s. Then, on July 6, 2008, a cascade started – and has not stopped. For more than 18 years straight, 6,681 days, at least one heat storm has been roiling the planet, and often more than one.

Many of them have been colossal. In the almost half century between 1960 and the start of the current 18-year cascade, only five heat storms had ever reached a peak size bigger than a tenth of the planet, about the area of Europe and Asia combined. The ongoing cascade has included 56 such mega heat storms.

The largest of these was one we have named Heat Storm Vera, the storm that killed the Hajj pilgrims, intensified the Louisiana wildfires, and touched nearly 85% of the planet over its 367-day lifespan.

See original article for an animated map showing a cascade of heat storms evolving across the globe from 2023 to 2024.

What follows is a biography of Vera, from its birth on July 29, 2023, through its last day on July 29, 2024, that shows how the storm connected and often devastated communities scattered across the globe.

The sun rises as the Austin High School football team holds an early morning practice to avoid peak summer heat in Austin, Texas, this August. REUTERS/Callaghan O’Hare

TEXAS

AUGUST 2023

Friday Night Lights

On a sweltering evening in August 2023, as Heat Storm Vera coiled around the American South, Justice Trumpler led his high school football team onto the field for the season’s first game. In hopes of playing college ball, the 17-year-old captain had invited coaches and recruiters to watch. As the game kicked off at 7:30pm, the temperature was 100 F.

Texas’s passion for high school football – the American version, not the one that transfixed billions during this summer’s World Cup – was captured in the iconic movie Friday Night Lights, about a team gunning for the state championship. But players of American football suffer 11 times as many heat-related injuries as athletes in all other sports combined, according to data from the University of Connecticut Korey Stringer Institute.

That’s because the football season starts in the summer, the sport demands intense physical exertion, and many of its players, such as the 255-pound offensive lineman Trumpler, have large bodies that are harder to cool down. There’s another reason: In contrast to most other warm-weather sports, American football features heat-trapping helmets and heavy padding.

Justice Trumpler hoped college recruiters would see him shine in the season opener. Handout via REUTERS

Meanwhile, Texas is spending ever more time in extreme heat. Across the entire three decades from 1960 to 1989, the city of Austin – home to Trumpler’s Bowie High School – experienced a total of 557 days in heat waves and heat storms. This decade, our analysis shows, that number has already surpassed 700. During the football season, Heat Storm Vera enveloped Austin for 39 days.

By halftime, the Bowie Bulldogs led 14-0. As the teams broke apart, Trumpler’s parents said they watched him walk to the field’s edge and vomit. A trainer hosed it away.

Through the second half, they saw Trumpler stop to dry heave at least twice, they said, and he seemed slow to get off the turf after plays. At one point, his parents saw him walk toward the opposing team’s huddle, a sign of mental confusion.

Trumpler’s father, Jason Trumpler, told Reuters he began shouting from the bleachers for the coaches to pull his son out of the game. When that didn’t work, he went to the railing separating the stands from the field and continued yelling. Trumpler kept playing.

Bowie’s coach did not respond to multiple requests for comment. The school’s principal referred Reuters to a school district spokesman, who did not respond to messages seeking comment.

Other players struggled, too. So many boys fell to the ground after plays that Bowie’s game commentators declared it a “cramp epidemic.” By the fourth quarter, the score was tied. The coaches could have ended the game, but the referee announced it would go into overtime.

“Both teams are going to start on the 25 (yard line) of their opposition and, uh, keep on going until somebody dies,” said one commentator. “Don’t say that,” replied the other.

A fan cools a person on the sidelines after a football game between Austin High School and Bowie High School in Austin, Texas, on September 25. REUTERS/Callaghan O’Hare

The “unfortunate” phrasing, the first commentator told Reuters, was intended to convey how hard the teams were playing under very tough conditions.

Just before the second-to-last play, a leg cramp brought Trumpler to the ground. His coach finally pulled him out. “Texas has that mentality of ‘you gotta be tough, you gotta play through pain,’” said Jason.

Jason took Trumpler home, but the teen couldn’t stop throwing up. After an ice bath failed to cool Trumpler down, Jason said, he drove his son to the hospital. When Trumpler’s mother, Jennifer Norman-Wolfe, arrived, he couldn’t recognize her voice, she said, and couldn’t tell her how many brothers he had.

Reuters was not able to review Trumpler’s medical records, but his parents said tests showed their son’s kidneys were failing, and his brain was swelling so much that doctors said they might need to drill a hole in his skull to relieve the pressure. Doctors couldn’t assure them their son would survive, they said.

Twelve high school football players in the US have died from heat over the last decade, according to statistics compiled by the National Center for Catastrophic Sport Injury Research. Trumpler was released after two days in the hospital.

Later, his parents said, they sent his medical records to Bowie High School and tried to discuss what had gone wrong. But they said the school’s athletic staff infuriated them by suggesting they hadn’t done enough to alert coaches about his condition during the game, Trumpler’s father told Reuters. A month later, Trumpler’s parents saw a video of an official for the governing body for Texas high school sports, the University Interscholastic League, referring to their son’s injury as a “questionable” heat-related incident.

Neither the school district nor the UIL official responded to requests for comment. In an interview, UIL Executive Director Jamey Harrison said that the organization relies on schools to report the details of medical events and avoids instituting rules based on individual incidents.

Bowie High School junior Alec Zarate, 16, wears a cold towel around his neck while a misting fan sprays behind him during a game against Austin High School in Austin, Texas, this September. REUTERS/Callaghan O’Hare

Heat storms are starting to reshape Texas football. State filings show that since the beginning of this year, at least four school districts in the state have registered to build indoor or covered practice spaces, two with price tags in excess of $10 million. And this year, the UIL adopted new rules requiring rest breaks, ice baths and shortenings or cancellations of practices in high heat. Yet these rules are not mandatory for football games themselves.

Two weeks after his hospitalization, as Heat Storm Vera continued baking Austin, Trumpler resumed playing football. He declined to speak to Reuters, but wrote on X at the time that “it felt so good to return.”

His heat injury, however, seemed to throw off college recruiters. Division I teams, those with the biggest and best programs, stopped calling, Trumpler’s father recalled. His mother said Trumpler himself seemed tepid about the prospect, which had once been his dream, and he is not currently attending college.

“Our son, Justice, is tough and built for football, mentally and physically,” she wrote at the time. “This heat was tougher.”

Olives in Spain’s Carcabuey district, which Heat Storm Vera battered in 2023. REUTERS/Marcelo del Pozo

SPAIN

AUGUST 2023

“Pirates of liquid gold”

Early in the morning of August 30, 2023, a team of thieves carefully maneuvered a tanker truck through the winding roads of the small Spanish town of Carcabuey, intent on an audacious heist.

Around 2:30 a.m., according to a local police official, the thieves pulled into a gated driveway on the edge of town. They shut off lights and cut through the rickety gate’s padlock. They left no fingerprints because they wore gloves. Once inside, they beelined for their unusual loot: extra virgin olive oil, which they siphoned from industrial-sized tanks.

Over the previous several months, a series of heat storms had helped fuel a drought that devastated the olive crop and sent the price of olive oil skyrocketing, raising the value of the stolen 56 metric tons to a staggering $546,000. Journalists nicknamed the thieves the Pirates of Liquid Gold.

By dawn, when the olive mill’s manager, Martín Parras, arrived, all that remained was an oil streak on the driveway. Parras was so overcome, he said, that he walked into a nearby olive grove, sat beneath the trees and wept.

Scene of the crime: Manager Martín Parras stands in the warehouse where the extra virgin olive oil was stolen. REUTERS/Marcelo del Pozo

In Spain’s southern region around Carcabuey, houses are painted white to repel the sun, and residents take long breaks during the hot afternoons. Olive trees, which evolved to have formidable heat tolerance, have thrived here for centuries.

But the trees have struggled in the new heat storm era. Between March 12 and August 1, when Vera first reached Carcabuey, the little town endured eight other heat storms that rolled one into the next with almost no break. The combination of early heat and scarce rain burned the olive flowers, preventing them from opening and pollinating, Parras said.

In the past five to 10 years, locals say, the heat that once lasted from June to August can now stretch from April to November, and it stays hot later into the evening. “People used to go out around 7 or 8 in summers but now it can be 9 or 9:30 and there’s no one in the streets,” said Juan Lara, who has been running a pastry shop near Carcabuey for 46 years.

Olive groves in Spain’s Carcabuey district, where heat storms exacerbated a drought that sent the price of olive oil skyrocketing. REUTERS/Marcelo del Pozo

Heat Storm Vera spent a total of 127 days over Carcabuey. At first, Vera teased the city, brushing it briefly before smothering the town for three weeks until a couple of days before the theft. Temperatures surpassed 104 F several times.

Parras said about half the olives at his Marín Serrano El Lagar mill ended up unusable, with scant flesh and barely any oil. “Olive trees had a yellow color like when grass dries, and leaves fell,” he recalled. “It was monstrous.”

The price of olive oil spiked by 44% that year, largely because the withering heat and drought reduced output by roughly half in Spain, the world’s largest producer. Some Spanish supermarkets placed alarms on bottles to prevent theft, but no one thought thieves would target a mill’s huge metal tanks. At Marín Serrano El Lagar, the only alarms were in the office and a room storing oil that was already bottled.

Spanish police arrested a 50-year-old man who had crushed olives at the mill for more than two decades until he left in 2020 after an argument over his salary. Authorities suspect the man conspired to steal the oil with the owner of a rival mill just down the road, the local police official said. The owner was also arrested. Both men were later released, but remain under investigation. They told Reuters they did not steal the oil, with the 50-year-old suspect saying he’s eager to clear his name.

The real culprit, according to mill manager Parras, has not been indicted. “Climate change has completely affected olive fields,” he said. “Has it been the cause of the theft? Totally.” If the heat hadn’t driven the price so high, he added, “There would have been no theft.”

A dead river dolphin floating in Lake Tefé. In 2023, Heat Storm Vera helped heat the lake to jacuzzi temperatures. REUTERS/Bruno Kelly

BRAZIL

SEPTEMBER 2023

Death of the dolphins

On September 28, 2023, an environmental scientist named Ayan Fleischmann sat in a small boat at the heart of a vast Amazonian lake and watched a dolphin die. The creature moved in jagged circles, its body shuddering. Suddenly, it sank.

As Fleischmann watched the dolphin vanish into the darkness of Lake Tefé, smoke from nearby wildfires fouled the air. An algal bloom stained the waters blood-red. Dozens of dolphin corpses dotted the lake’s beaches. Photos taken by Fleischmann’s team show the dolphins’ skin wrinkled like melted plastic or peeling to reveal yellow flesh. This, Fleischmann recalled thinking, might be what Hell looks like.

With its distinctive pink color, the river dolphin is one of the Amazon’s most iconic and mythologized creatures. According to legend, they would transform into humans at night to seduce locals. The dolphin was put on the endangered species list eight years ago, after poaching and rainforest destruction caused its numbers to plummet. Now, heat storms have emerged as an urgent new threat.

Heat Storm Vera settled over the Amazon in late July and spent a total of nearly seven months over Lake Tefé, simmering it for 42 days in a row before Fleischmann watched the dolphin die. The heat storm helped warm the lake to a high of 105.8 F – the temperature of a standard jacuzzi. For the dolphins, such temperatures were catastrophic: Fleischmann’s research team later concluded that the creatures had effectively been cooked alive.

Fleischmann, 34, had been studying how the waters of Lake Tefé were changing for several years. “It became a friend. I see it every day,” he said. But as the heat storm festered, he recalled, so much of the lake dried up that when he and his colleagues visited local villages, they were pelted by whirlwinds of sand whipped up from newly exposed beaches.

Retrieving dead dolphins from Lake Tefé on October 2, 2023. REUTERS/Bruno Kelly
Lake Tefé’s water level dropped during Heat Storm Vera in 2023, exposing wide swaths of dry land. REUTERS/Bruno Kelly

Later, Fleischmann’s research institute autopsied the dolphins that washed up on the lake’s shores. Temperatures were so high that most of the corpses rotted faster than they could be studied, said Hilda Chávez-Pérez, a biologist who oversaw the study of the bodies. But in those they could examine, she said, the researchers kept finding that the dolphins’ brains were bruised and their organs speckled with blood: telltale signs of heat stress. Many had empty stomachs, indicating that they had lost the ability to feed in the heat.

The lake’s normal population is at least 700 river dolphins, said Fleischmann, but during September and October, when Vera scalded the area for all but one day, more than 200 died. “Nobody had ever seen that magnitude of mortality,” he said. “It was like a death circus.”

Hikers in Poland’s Tatra National Park, which Heat Storm Vera heated to spring-like temperatures in January and February 2024. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel

POLAND

FEBRUARY 2024

Weird winters

In Poland’s Tatra Mountains, the first months of 2024 were full of strange signs.

In mid-February, bears woke from hibernation weeks early and began roaming the ranges. Frogs also emerged early, ranger Tomasz Zając remembered, rising from the rotting leaves and underwater silt beneath which they had hunkered through the cold months. Although snow still clung to the high peaks, it was so slushy that it frequently slipped in mini-avalanches that left black scars of exposed rock.

While heat storms are hottest in summer, they can also mellow typically frigid months. Heat Storm Vera, which enveloped the Tatras for 31 days in January and February, sent the temperature up to 62.6 F. In neighboring Germany, Vera prompted the country’s weather service to tell people to leave behind their warm coats as they celebrated the annual winter carnival, while in the UK, television hosts joked about unusually “hot and steamy” Valentine’s Day temperatures in the English town of Lover.

But winter heat storms can also cause unexpected harm. In January of this year, bone-chilling cold descended on eastern Canada and the US, causing Toronto to endure 23 straight days of sub-freezing cold and gripping parts of Minnesota in temperatures that plunged to minus 43 F. Paradoxically, those frigid temperatures were largely caused by winter heat waves in the northern polar regions and Greenland, where residents basked in unseasonably balmy days that reached 52.3 F. That northern mass of warm air shunted a cold front down over eastern North America, in what climatologists call a polar vortex.

Tennessee got so cold that freezing rain encased trees in ice, causing many to collapse under the weight. Forest silence was occasionally broken by a sound resembling gunshots as sap froze and expanded, splintering tree trunks. Almost half of Pittsburgh’s snowplows stopped working, forcing the city to leave roads uncleared for days and trash on the streets for a week. The extreme cold killed at least 100 people across the US, caused power losses for more than a million customers, drove more flight cancellations than any time since the COVID 19 pandemic, and forced school closures from Milwaukee to Atlanta. Even in Cuba, farmers woke to frost on their crops.

Heat Storm Vera spent weeks over Europe in January and February, effectively transforming winter into spring. By mid-February, local media estimated that a quarter of European ski resorts were closed due to lack of snow. It was so warm that many resorts couldn’t even make artificial powder. Amid the unseasonal heat, intense rain battered parts of Europe and neighboring countries; as Vera settled over the southern Turkish city of Antalya, flash floods inundated entire neighborhoods, with the sudden flow submerging fire trucks and buses.

Poland’s Tatra Mountains are famous for their spring crocuses, which carpet the valleys in purple. Agencja Gazeta/Marek Podmokly via REUTERS

In the Tatra Mountains, winter’s end is marked by the blossoming of crocuses. More than a hundred million typically bloom starting in mid- to late-March, turning the valleys into purple oceans. Rangers have to patrol Chochołowska Glade – where crocuses bloom most densely – to prevent tourists stampeding the flowers into the ground. In late February, that frenzy was supposed to be weeks away. But on February 29, ranger Zając noticed a flash of color amidst Chochołowska’s freshly-uncovered grass. He squatted to get a better look at the purple petals unfolding around an orange stamen. Earlier than he could ever remember, the first crocus had arrived.

Learning first aid for people who pass out from the heat, students at Sagkahan National High School in the Philippines practice carrying an unconscious person. REUTERS/Eloisa Lopez

THE PHILIPPINES

APRIL 2024

Collapsing children

Partway through April 2024, on the top floor of Saghakan High School in the Philippines’ Tacloban City, Jeffrey Polido was giving a lesson on typhoons to 50 sweating 14-year-olds in a concrete classroom with two rickety fans. Interrupting him, a student burst through the door with news: Yet another child had collapsed.

Polido – a 37-year-old science teacher who at that time ran the school’s health clinic – raced outside to the stricken girl and took her vitals. He and the student who had alerted him carried the child down several flights of stairs to the clinic to recover. Then, Polido walked back to his roasting classroom and resumed teaching, knowing it would happen all over again. After all, he told Reuters, he had already seen dozens of students collapse.

Polido, along with the teacher who comforted the student with the gushing nosebleed, didn’t know it but they were on the frontline of Heat Storm Vera. The heat was intensified by its most dangerous accomplice: humidity. As a result, a temperature of 91.4 F in steamy Tacloban felt like 116.5 F, while hotter parts of the Philippines reached “feels like” levels of 127.5 F – at which point the country’s weather bureau warned, “Heat stroke is imminent.” For the millions of children in schools cooled only by fans, the thick muggy heat was especially dangerous.

In Manila, Jenita Simangan, 49, watched her 50-strong class of five-year-olds break out into rashes, complain of headaches, and say the heat made their skin feel like it was burning, she recalled. Partway through the heat spell, she said, one five-year-old staggered into class and began vomiting uncontrollably. As the child stood in a puddle of watery bile speckled with half-digested chunks of lunch, Simangan felt herself panic. It was the worst moment she’d experienced in two decades of teaching, she said.

A student is carried on a chair after feeling unwell during a first aid training at Sagkahan National High School in the Philippines this July. REUTERS/Eloisa Lopez

Heat Storm Vera hit Tacloban particularly hard, tormenting the city for a total of more than nine months. Standing in a rare spot of shade at Sagkahan High School earlier this year, Cloe Novella, 17, recalled sitting in her class and trying to catch the weak breeze from one of the classroom’s old fans when she realized one of her best friends hadn’t said anything since they sat down. Turning around, Novella saw her friend appeared to be sleeping, tapped her, and quickly realized that her friend had lost consciousness. Novella’s teacher told one of her classmates to fetch Polido, who came and carried the student to the clinic, where she recovered. She was one of more than 40 who Polido estimated fainted during Vera.

The Philippines soon suspended in-person classes across the country and has since changed its school calendar to avoid exposing students to the most extreme temperatures. Yet for Novella and her fellow students, Heat Storm Vera kickstarted a new era of near-perpetual heat.

LJ Corsanes, 17, said he frequently plunges into temperature-induced panic attacks. “It’s like going into a fight,” he said of going outside. “It’s like opening a door to hell.”

Over the entire 1960s, heat storms hit Tacloban for only 7 days, and the city experienced 245 days of ordinary heat waves. This decade, ordinary heat waves have touched Tacloban for fewer than 40 days – but heat storms have engulfed the city for more than 1,470 days. That’s over 200 days a year.

Students learn first aid for people stricken by heat at Sagkahan National High School in the Philippines.

Tropical archipelagos such as the Philippines are particularly vulnerable to heat storms, Reuters’ analysis shows. The warm ocean heats the air from below while sunshine not only beats down from above but also reflects off the surrounding water. Other tropical islands, such as Guam, Haiti and much of Indonesia, spend most of the year in heat storms.

The implacable heat is forcing students to learn grim new skills. In July, Polido gathered 80-odd teenagers for first aid training with the Red Cross. Over two days, they practiced how to begin chest compressions, how to lift an unconscious person to safety, and how to position someone who has passed out so they don’t choke on their tongues.

For some, the heat has become eerily normal. Novella said it makes her feel “like I am burning in pain and fire.” But, she added, “It is not strange, because I am used to feeling the heat already.”

Cocoa pods on the farm founded by the late Brou Kouassi, village chief of Digrikro, Ivory Coast. REUTERS/ Luc Gnago

IVORY COAST

NOVEMBER 2023-JUNE 2024

Death of a chocolate chief

In his half-century as a farmer of cocoa, the raw ingredient of chocolate, Chief Brou Kouassi earned enough money to marry five times, send his 12 children to school, and float a little cash to his neighbors. He even had a nickname – “À Nous Deux”, or “Just Between Us” – a phrase people used when they came seeking assistance on the hush-hush.

In 2023, Heat Storm Vera started stalking Digrikro, the village in western Ivory Coast where Kouassi had been chief since 2000. At first, the heat storm came and went, lurking for up to two weeks at a time. Then, beginning November 1, Vera besieged the area for more than four months straight, sometimes sending temperatures above 100.4 F. “La secheresse” – the drought – also began in November, according to local farmers and United Nations rainfall data.

His sons had taken over the hard labor, but every morning Kouassi still pulled on his boots and went out to survey his 22-hectare farm. As Heat Storm Vera shriveled the pods and sent brittle leaves falling from the branches, Kouassi would shake his head and lament that he had never seen so many trees dead or dying.

His sons would go out in the morning with their machetes to cut down the cocoa pods but return just a few hours later because, as Kouassi’s son Jules put it, “the trees didn’t give us anything.” Jules said the cocoa yield on his portion of the land for February to April 2024, an important harvesting time, was less than half of normal.

Ivory Coast and its neighbor Ghana produce about 50% of the world’s cocoa. But in the wake of Heat Storm Vera, the harvest in those two countries fell by half.

Jules Kouassi inspects his cocoa trees two years after Heat Storm Vera helped decimate his harvest.

Vera had collaborators, among them disease, which preys more easily on heat-and-drought-weakened cocoa trees, and an El Niño, which likely intensified the heat storm. But Vera and the drought it exacerbated were relentless, with the heat storm lingering over one cocoa region of Ghana for a total of almost 11 months. In 2024, the price of cocoa almost tripled.

In West Africa, where almost all the cocoa is produced by smallholder farms such as Kouassi’s, the stakes were existential. Kouassi urged his sons to abandon cocoa for heat-resistant crops such as rubber or cashews. “He kept saying, ‘If you don’t replace the cocoa trees, you’ll have nothing to eat,’” recalled Jules.

In June 2024, as Heat Storm Vera took its last licks at Digrikro, Kouassi fell ill. After a medicinal broth of leaves didn’t work, his family sent him to the hospital, where Jules recalls doctors saying his father had malaria and anemia. He spent four days in the hospital, at a cost of 320,000 CFA, or about $525. But his illness persisted, so they sent him back again, paying another $525. They considered a third trip for the same high cost, but they couldn’t afford to keep sending him back because the devastation of the cocoa crop had beggared the family.

Remembering the late chief Brou Kouassi, relatives gathered in August at the home he built in his ancestral village of Lekissou, Ivory Coast. REUTERS/Luc Gnago

Kouassi’s one-story concrete farmhouse offered little respite from the clammy heat. As his illness worsened – swelling that began in his feet spread all the way up to his thighs – he struggled to sleep more than a few hours each night. With money scarce and Western medicine failing, he asked to go to the village where he was born to visit a traditional healer or, if that failed, to be buried next to his parents.

Kouassi traveled by bus, which typically takes more than six hours to cover the 200 kilometers, much of it on a choppy dirt road. Years earlier, before heat storms shattered his livelihood, Kouassi had built an eight-bedroom house there with a large patio, where he relished visits from relatives and neighbors, some whispering hush-hush stories. His sons hoped the more comfortable environment and traditional remedies might help him regain his health.

The healer took 90,000 CFA, a little less than $160, then refused any more payments even though he kept bringing clay pots filled with medicinal concoctions. But his father continued to decline, Jules recalled, and finally pulled his son aside and asked him “to take care of the family because he didn’t know if he would survive.” Kouassi died on October 27, 2024, aged 68. No official cause of death was given.

Jules Kouassi holds a photograph of his late father, Brou Kouassi, dressed in his chief’s regalia. Heat Storm Vera ravaged his cocoa farm in the village of Digrikro, Ivory Coast. REUTERS/Luc Gnago

His beloved cocoa farm has not recovered. Many of the trees are dead or sick, Jules said, and revenue remains in a rut. Kouassi himself lies buried under a blank headstone, his family unable to afford the finishing tribute: a name plaque. Nor have they been able to raise enough money for a traditional funeral, a fact that torments Jules. In the culture of their Baoulé ethnic group, the failure to hold that ceremony – complete with a sheep sacrifice, drumming and dancing – means his father cannot go peacefully into the afterlife. “It’s like his soul is still walking around here,” Jules said, “unable to rest.”

FEBRUARY, 2026

A new massive heat storm

Over its lifetime, Heat Storm Vera drifted over nearly 85% of the planet, more than any heat storm on record. Its peak size, covering 31.3% of the Earth on January 5, 2024, was also a record. Until this summer.

Heat Storm Raimundo, which broiled Europe and stoked massive wildfires in Spain and France, extended over 33.8% of the globe on August 28. Since its inception on February 28, 2026, Raimundo has touched almost three quarters of the planet’s surface.

Both heat storms spent time over a melting Nepalese glacier before its collapse on August 26 and the catastrophic flooding that followed, killing thousands. Early indications suggest that warming temperatures contributed to the collapse of the glacier and the bedrock beneath it.

The grim aftermath of the collapse of a glacier, which unleashed flash floods and mudslides on Devighat, Nepal, this August. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas
A school bag lies amid debris and mud following the collapse of the glacier above Devighat, Nepal, this August. The glacier had spent more than half of this decade in heat storms and heat waves. REUTERS/Adnan Abidi
Kalpana Thapa Magar, 43, displaced by the flash floods that followed the glacier collapse in Nepal, cries while sitting outside her temporary shelter this September. REUTERS/Adnan Abidi

Up until the glacier gave way, it had spent about 58% of this decade in a heat storm or heat wave, up from 7% during the 1960s. For the six days immediately preceding its collapse, the glacier had been blanketed by Heat Storm Raimundo.

Raimundo isn’t yet finished. It has been heating the earth for 235 days and counting.

A Reuters Series

The Age of Heat Storms

Part 1: Earth’s biggest heat storm

Our methodology

Key takeaways

Heat Storm Tracker

The Age of Heat Storms: The Big One

By Maurice Tamman in New York; Ben Welsh in New York; Pete McKenzie in Sydney and Tacloban, the Philippines; Charlie Szymanski in Phoenix, Arizona; Delgerzaya Delgerjargal in New York and Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia;  Robbie Corey-Boulet in Dakar, Senegal, and Daloa, Ivory Coast; Loucoumane Coulibaly in Abidjan and Daloa, Ivory Coast; Jeff Horwitz in San Francisco and Austin, Texas; and Joan Faus in Barcelona and Carcabuey, Spain

Data analysis: Maurice Tamman, Ben Welsh, Charlie Szymanski and Delgerzaya Delgerjargal

Graphics: Adrián Blanco and Feilding Cage

Photography: Callaghan O’Hare, Marcelo del Pozo, Eloisa Lopez and Luc Gnago

Photo editing: Corinne Perkins and Maye-E Wong

Video: Zachary Goelman, Francesca Lynagh, Louis Johnson, Holly Murtha, Joshua Sommer, Media Coulibaly and Adrian Portugal

Art direction: John Emerson

Visual Editing: Feilding Cage

Additional reporting: Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk in Warsaw, Gleb Bryanski in Moscow and Hina Suzuki in Tokyo

Edited by Mark Schoofs

The US spent billions on border surveillance. Why can’t it catch people before they die? (MIT Technology Review)

Original piece

Artificial intelligence

Surveillance towers, increasingly powered by AI, promised faster responses to crossings. Our investigation of deaths near the towers found they are failing to deliver.

by  James O’Donnell and Eileen Guo

September 21, 2026

When José Morales Bernal crossed the border into the United States on April 8, 2024, the day before his 32nd birthday, it should have triggered a chain of technological alerts and human responses. 

As he walked through the desert in southern New Mexico that morning, he was within range of three surveillance towers. Newly installed by US Customs and Border Protection (CBP), they were built by the defense tech company Anduril and equipped with cameras and AI to automatically detect and track people. They transmit live video to nearby control rooms and can send alerts to the government-issued smartphones held by agents in the area, prompting the closest available to respond.


This story is part of Dying on Camera, a collaboration between MIT Technology Review and Times of San Diego. Journalists in both newsrooms spent the past year examining the failures of border surveillance technology and uncovering the stories of the people who die in the borderlands.


These AI-enabled towers are meant to give greater visibility across the 1,951-mile southern border, freeing up border agents from having to spend hours staring into video monitors. They were installed in this particular place to spot border crossers before they reached the nearby town of Sunland Park.

If the system worked as intended, Morales should have been apprehended. If he needed medical help, agents were trained to provide it.

View from the grid location where a body was found towards Border Patrol Surveillance Tower 022, along the southern U.S. border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.
The view from where José Morales Bernal’s body was found toward a Customs and Border Protection surveillance tower made by Anduril, along the southern US border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.

That didn’t happen. Despite the nearby surveillance towers, it was employees of the local landfill, rather than Border Patrol, who first spotted Morales that morning. At 1 p.m. the workers saw him again, now lying in the sand. At 4 p.m. the landfill workers saw that he had not moved and called Border Patrol. Agents arrived 45 minutes later. He was dead. When an agent then called 911 to report the body, he said it was “probably one of the migrants crossing through there,” seemingly unaware that Morales had been moving near the agency’s surveillance systems earlier that day. 

Audio: The agent can be heard sounding unsure of Morales’ location despite the proximity of an AI-powered surveillance camera. The call has been edited for length.

Morales had died just 360 feet from the closest surveillance tower. Two more towers stood watch to the east and the west. An autopsy later concluded that he had died of “environmental exposure.” 

The towers surrounding Morales were only the latest addition to the “virtual wall” the government has spent 25 years and billions of dollars building along the entire border, which also includes earlier generations of towers with more basic features, as well as blimps, drones, seismic sensors, and even tunnel-sensing robots. Together, all this technology provides “persistent surveillance” and “situational awareness” to help the Border Patrol quickly and accurately detect people crossing and, crucially, make sure agents are sent to intercept them. CBP has also credited it with saving lives.

But a first-of-its-kind investigation by MIT Technology Review reveals that deaths like Morales’s are startlingly common. We cross-referenced nearly 4,000 locations where human remains were found—drawn from records collected by nonprofit groups like No More Deaths and Humane Borders, as well as hundreds of records we obtained in Texas—with information on nearly 600 towers identified by the Electronic Frontier Foundation. We considered when towers were installed and when each person is estimated to have died, and combined this information with field reporting from the border. The result is the first comprehensive map and analysis of deaths near CBP surveillance towers. 

Our investigation shows that a humanitarian crisis at the border has unfolded in view of the government’s own cameras.

José Morales Bernal died the day before his 32nd birthday.

We found more than 1,050 people who died within range of border surveillance towers between 2015 and early 2026. These deaths are not failures of a few towers or technologies: We found deaths within the advertised range of nearly two-thirds of all the towers we analyzed. Our topographical analysis—which assessed the degree to which terrain might block a tower’s view of a particular death and its surveillance area in general—found that some have sight of as little as 10% of their advertised surveillance area, and yet we also found most deaths did not occur in towers’ blind spots. These deaths are not the result of legacy systems, as our estimate found more than 110 people have died within range of modern autonomous towers from Anduril, among the most advanced systems CBP has deployed, since 2021.

The overall picture reveals repeated failures of one of the virtual wall’s basic security functions, as CBP has described it in press releases: to effectively identify and locate migrants entering illegally into the United States. 

The year that Morales died, 18 other people died in that same stretch of desert in range of the three Anduril towers. Five were visible from the same surveillance tower closest to where his body was discovered.

One man, after walking a mile past the border and in range of two AI towers, dragged his 30-year-old brother into the shade when he began having trouble breathing, according to records we obtained from the medical examiner. The two were spotted by Border Patrol only when the man waved down a helicopter for help; by the time agents arrived, his brother was already dead. A 24-year-old woman died near another Anduril tower, where our terrain analysis showed it should have had clear sight of her location. Her body lay unnoticed for weeks; it was decomposed, and blistered by the summer heat, when it was spotted by agents patrolling the area. 

A few miles west, and a short drive from a Border Patrol station, four other AI towers stood watch. Near them, 10 more bodies were found that year, all in locations where at least one tower had a clear view.


Dying on Camera: see map.

In response to a list of questions, an Anduril spokesperson replied that once a tower is delivered, it is operated by CBP, and directed questions about specific incidents to the agency. The response noted that an incident occurring nearby does not mean the tower missed a detection and said actual surveillance ranges vary depending on terrain, physical obstructions, and the boundaries CBP sets for where the tower should look (CBP is able to set virtual boundaries on towers’ views for privacy and other reasons). The Anduril spokesperson also alleged inaccuracies in our reporting, given those boundaries and obstructions, but did not respond to follow-up questions on what was inaccurate.

The most pressing question in any death near the virtual wall is whether authorities knew someone was there and failed to reach them or weren’t aware anyone was crossing at all. Either is a system failure. And the deaths we found capture only the failures that left a trace—we don’t know how many people pass through undetected, or how many bodies remain undiscovered.

Interviews with more than 45 people—including current and former White House advisors and presidential appointees, Border Patrol agents, medical examiners, sheriffs, humanitarian volunteers, and employees of tech companies—showed that both types of failures are occurring: The technology is failing to detect, and agents are failing to respond. Both show the limits of throwing technology at a complex problem. 

The findings reveal previously unreported issues with the virtual wall, even as it continues to enjoy broad political support and a surge in federal spending. Border security hardliners have long seen it as another tool for stopping smugglers moving drugs or people, while others tout it as a cheaper alternative to a physical wall. In 2023, the government estimated that its plans for using the towers, which now number 803, would cost $6.2 billion over their lifespan. With the historic levels of funding it was awarded in 2025, CBP plans to spend $1 billion for 1,497 more towers by 2034.

But our reporting shows that CBP has done little to assess how its towers are working or how many people have died where they keep watch.

Officials who oversaw border security across the last four presidential administrations told us they believed deaths near the so-called virtual wall were either exceedingly rare or nonexistent. But our reporting shows that is not the case. None could point to any comparable analysis the government had ever conducted on its own. Former agents and officials also told us that when someone’s body is found, CBP does not formally investigate whether surveillance should have detected them or, if they were detected, why agents didn’t reach them before they died. 

In response to nearly 30 questions about our findings, which covered multiple generations of technology, Hilton Beckham, CBP’s assistant commissioner for public affairs, said, “Autonomous surveillance towers use artificial intelligence to detect and classify people, vehicles, and animals and alert Border Patrol agents to activity in monitored areas … ASTs complement physical barriers and other border security infrastructure by improving detection and situational awareness between ports of entry. CBP evaluates the technology based on its impact on detection, response coordination, agent safety, and mission outcomes.”

“I’m sure that the cameras and other surveillance assets do deliver … useful intelligence and enhance operational efficacy in some places, under some conditions, in certain circumstances,” says Geoff Boyce, an assistant professor of geography at University College Dublin who has studied surveillance technology used at the US southern border. “I’m also absolutely positive—because this has been the track record—it is not delivering the level of operational support, information, or efficacy that either the companies delivering these infrastructures or the Border Patrol and Department of Homeland Security claim.” 

We also reached out to multiple lawmakers from both parties with a summary of our findings. In response, Delia Ramirez, a Democrat representing Illinois’s 3rd district who sits on the House Homeland Security Committee, said, “AI-powered surveillance technologies are not making us safer. Yet DHS continues to spend millions of taxpayer dollars on these ineffective, negligent technologies, with no commitment to oversight or transparency … It is clear we must terminate CBP’s integrated surveillance tower program and dismantle DHS.”

Building the virtual wall

Since its earliest efforts to police the border with Mexico, the US government has faced the same basic challenge: How do you effectively secure nearly 2,000 miles of remote and rugged terrain? It has increasingly turned to technology for answers.

Gerardo Galvan joined Border Patrol in 1995, as the government was undertaking an unprecedented expansion of border enforcement. In 1993, President Clinton’s first year in office, the agency mobilized huge numbers of agents to guard the country’s urban borders, starting in El Paso, Texas. That pushed more crossings to rural, unpopulated areas—which quickly proved to be far more deadly because of the rugged desert terrain, extreme temperatures, scarcity of water and the long, indirect routes often used by smugglers.

Stopping these remote crossings was a new law enforcement challenge for the agency, especially given the limited technology available at the time. “We had radios,” says Galvan, who would go on to be the head of operations for the El Paso sector—not the cell phones or GPS systems agents have today. They relied on underground sensors left over from the Vietnam War to alert them to movement.

The biggest technology rollout of Galvan’s early career started around 1998. That was when Border Patrol began installing its first video cameras that agents could remotely pan and zoom. They were mounted on metal structures similar to cell-phone towers, 60 to 80 feet tall, or on buildings in urban areas. 

“For the first time, somebody sitting in a room somewhere was able to surveil large swaths of area without being dependent on getting an agent out there with binoculars,” says Matthew Hudak, a former deputy chief of Border Patrol who was working as a frontline agent at the time. “That was a very significant game changer, and for the most part, it was a huge, huge advance.”

This early iteration of the virtual wall was a big deal: In its first eight years, 200 towers were installed along the southern border at a cost of more than $429 million. But the system’s flaws were obvious to anyone who used it.

“There could be … 30 screens on a wall,” says Mark Borkowski, who managed CBP contracting, including the surveillance tower program. Each camera might be capable of seeing three or five miles in any direction. The agent was expected to keep eyes on all that space—upwards of 850 square miles.

Monitors inside the cab of a Border Patrol truck shows a portion of the U.S.-Mexico border in Sunland Park, N.M., Thursday, June 6, 2019.
Monitors inside the cab of a Border Patrol truck show a portion of the US-Mexico border in Sunland Park, New Mexico, on Thursday, June 6, 2019.

“Well, what are the chances after 20 minutes that those Border Patrol agents would see an explosion on one of those screens?” Borkowski says. “About zero.” 

When these cameras were first being put up, the plan was to pair them eventually with a system that would automatically direct them toward places where sensors picked up activity, so agents would know where to look. But by 2005, the DHS inspector general said that still hadn’t materialized, and that illegal activity might “go unnoticed” unless agents were actively watching the cameras. Nonetheless, more towers were installed, forming what is today known as the Remote Video Surveillance System (RVSS). In 2013, the defense giant General Dynamics won a contract worth up to $103 million to overhaul and expand RVSS along the border, becoming the primary contractor behind the system that remains in use today. (That contract eventually grew to a ceiling of $216 million, and the company received another award in 2023 worth up to $135 million.)

General Dynamics would install more cameras, better sensors, and additional towers. But the problem identified nearly 15 years before remained unsolved. It was information overload: One agent told MIT Technology Review about an incident in San Diego in which cameras captured a group of 30 crossing the border and getting picked up in a van, all unnoticed by the agent monitoring those cameras. Agents said the virtual wall was bringing more of the border into view than they could reasonably pay attention or respond to. 

The camera room was also the job nobody wanted. New Border Patrol agents, often in their early 20s, want to be outside in trucks and ATVs, not sitting in a dark room watching screens—even though the expanding virtual wall increasingly required someone to do exactly that. “Someone that’s injured and can’t go out into the field—we’ll send them to the camera room,” says Rafael Reyes, who was in charge of the Border Patrol station in Deming, New Mexico, until 2024. 

Reyes says it was also a job his agents were often too busy to do properly. His station area had about 30 cameras, and the agents responsible for them also had to monitor sensor alerts and radio traffic, run records checks, and coordinate with other agents. “Then if they have some time, they’ll monitor the cameras,” he says. 

Not only that, but many cameras didn’t work. At Reyes’s station in New Mexico, five of the 30 cameras were broken on any given day, he says. Others had limited functionality; they might be capable of looking in just one direction or seeing only in the daytime. Jaime Fierro, a former agent who worked in the Laredo sector in Texas until 2025, said the broken towers were tanking morale among agents and that they brought it up at every staff meeting. “That was like basically having an eye shut for us on the border,” he says. 

Retired Border Patrol agent Rafael Reyes in El Paso, TX.
Rafael Reyes, who oversaw a Border Patrol station in New Mexico, says his agents often had too many other responsibilities to monitor the cameras properly.

They weren’t alone: In 2024, members of the House Committee on Homeland Security wrote that more than 66% of Border Patrol’s first-generation towers were unusable, despite operating budgets of $50 million to $100 million each year. In January 2026, 30% remained broken, one congressional staffer told MIT Technology Review. The RVSS program was estimated in 2020 to have a total cost of $3.7 billion.

Border Patrol has nonetheless publicly credited these cameras with helping to save lives. The agency has published dozens of press releases, dating as far back as 2016, about instances when agents responded to people seen in distress on the remote video cameras. Despite these publicized wins, the bodies began to pile up, undetected, beneath these systems’ watchful gaze.

Near El Cenizo, Texas, there’s a roughly 13-square-mile expanse of mesquite bushes and grasses described by the Webb County Sheriff’s Office as containing sections of Hachar Ranch and Espejo Ranch. It’s surrounded by seven RVSS systems. It was nonetheless a hot spot for fatalities: MIT Technology Review found that 19 people died there, including one man who died less than 500 feet from the road bordering the ranches and half a mile from two schools. In each of these cases, narratives that we obtained via public records requests describe officers’ learning of these people only after their bodies were discovered or through 911 calls reporting them missing, not as a result of the border surveillance technology installed across Hachar Ranch. 

In response to a list of questions about its towers and these specific incidents, General Dynamics referred us to CBP. CBP did not address any of our questions about RVSS towers.  

Stories of some of the people that died near RVSS towers

Many deaths near RVSS towers happened in Texas, in the heavily surveilled corridors between the Rio Grande and the nearby highways, where paid smugglers often organize pickups after crossings. Cameras watch many of the spots where people are known to cross, often looking across the river into Mexico to spot them before they reach the water. Drownings are common; we found multiple cases in which local fishermen hooked the bodies of people who had died attempting the crossing.

In one instance, a family of three from Brazil attempted to cross the Rio Grande near Del Rio, Texas, in 2022. The father, Daniel Lenda, was carrying his two-year-old daughter, Eloah, on his shoulder when he fell in the water. The mother, 23-year-old Thais Natali Montenegro Lenda, lifted Eloah out of the water as she watched her husband disappear. 

She placed the girl, now unresponsive, on a rock and went for help. She was just 100 feet from one camera system and a third of a mile from two others, set up precisely to enable faster apprehensions at a popular crossing point. Our topographical analysis shows that all three cameras had a clear view of the place where the family crossed and exited the water. Nonetheless, Thais Natali was not spotted until she waved down an agent on the Del Rio-Acuña bridge. The agent provided CPR to the toddler, who did not survive. Daniel’s body was found days later. 

Val Verde County sheriff Joe Frank Martínez responded to that case (though Border Patrol might discover bodies, local law enforcement is responsible for investigating the deaths). He grew up in the area with his nine siblings and has been sheriff since 2009. Riding with MIT Technology Review through Del Rio in his patrol vehicle, he rattled off the deaths that his office has responded to since he became sheriff. 

He keeps a three-inch-thick binder of these cases in his office. But this case with the toddler still sticks out in his memory. He told MIT Technology Review that when he arrived on scene, he heard from Border Patrol that the tower operator monitoring the camera had seen the father and daughter fall in the river. He never received an answer as to why agents weren’t sent sooner. Martínez asked for the footage from the surveillance cameras to aid in his investigation of what happened. Border Patrol never provided it. (General Dynamics did not respond to our questions about this incident, instead directing us to CBP. The agency did not address questions about this incident either.)

A binder of cases in the Val Verde County sheriff’s office contains details on the death of two-year-old Eloah Lenda.
A binder of cases in the Val Verde County sheriff’s office contains details on the death of two-year-old Eloah Lenda.

Establishing how many people have died in range of the virtual wall is challenging, but it’s especially so in the case of the RVSS towers. There are different models, some with a shorter range of sight—one to three miles—and others with a longer range of up to 7.5 miles. Former agents and officials told us most towers should see at least five miles, but since no public records exist to confirm the model type of any given tower, we used several possible viewing distances to calculate the number of deaths considered in range.

Another complication is that many remains are never found at all. For those that are, MIT Technology Review could analyze only deaths that had been logged with GPS coordinates or sufficiently precise location descriptions. Many records lack this level of detail, including nearly a fifth of the more than 1,500 cases we obtained from 14 Texas counties. We also needed to determine when someone died, rather than simply when their remains were found, to confirm that a tower was present at the time of death. When official sources did not provide an estimate, we consulted multiple medical examiners on how to make that determination from the available details. And satellite imagery provides only intermittent evidence to suggest when towers arose, not exact proof of when they were functioning. For these reasons, as detailed in our methodology, we tried to be conservative in our analysis.

Even so, the number of deaths estimated to have occurred near at least one of these towers is staggering: somewhere between 500 and 700 since 2015. Even if we look only at towers in rural areas, where their views are far less likely to be blocked by buildings, we still estimate more than 300 people have died in places where the cameras had a line of sight, most less than three miles from a tower. Of the nearly 300 RVSS towers we included in our analysis, more than 250 were within range of a location where someone died. More than 150 people died within a half-mile of one, often across open, empty plains, close enough to see the cameras themselves perched atop towers up to 200 feet tall.

The next watchers

When Borkowski was overseeing the rollout of those first-generation towers at CBP, he became increasingly certain that simply having more remote video cameras was not going to lead to faster responses. The information overload meant the government could watch a large area of the border but not meaningfully see, much less act on, everything within it. The agency’s focus then became solving that overload problem. 

What if, instead of relying on someone to scan 30 screens, the towers could use radar to detect motion, and then point the camera to it automatically? 

Gary Wagner, of Elbit Systems of America, cleans the lens of a long range thermal imaging targeting system at the 8th annual Border Security Expo, Tuesday, March 18, 2014 in Phoenix.
Gary Wagner of Elbit Systems of America cleans the lens of a long-range thermal imaging system at a 2014 border security expo.

In 2011, Border Patrol asked the industry for a new generation of technology that could do just that—initially focusing on Arizona, where the border was busiest. The contract ultimately went to the Israeli defense contractor Elbit, whose tower systems watch Israel’s borders. In 2015, the company started installing versions of these—called integrated fixed towers, or IFTs—that could each see more than five miles.

The IFTs were still being installed when President Trump first took office, in 2017. They didn’t command the same attention as Trump’s campaign promise of a physical wall, but there was still support. Trump’s deputy CBP commissioner, Ronald Vitiello, told Congress in 2018 that the IFT towers automatically detect people with radar and then track them, adding that such surveillance technology is “critical in protecting border areas with short vanishing times, where illicit crossers can quickly evade law enforcement by ‘vanishing’ into border communities.”

There were 55 IFTs built in Arizona under an initial $145 million contract with Elbit and other contracts that followed. The towers collectively watch more than 7,000 square miles of terrain, from the mountainous areas outside Nogales to the plains of the Tohono O’odham Nation Reservation. Arizona is in many ways well suited for these tall towers because much of its landscape is flatter than, say, Southern California. 

An Integrated Fixed Tower (IFT) on Coronado Peak, Cochise County, AZ.
An integrated fixed tower (IFT) on Coronado Peak in Cochise County, Arizona.

But even here, being within a tower’s advertised range does not necessarily mean being within view. There could be terrain, brush, or buildings that block the line of sight. 

MIT Technology Review conducted a topographical analysis to estimate whether each tower had a clear or obstructed view of the place where someone’s remains were found. We estimated the height of each tower and used US elevation maps to model the terrain between it and the remains. The analysis does not account for buildings or vegetation, though all the towers we analyzed use some form of thermal imaging that is designed to see through light brush.

Most of the instances in which someone died in range of a tower happened where we estimate that the camera’s views were not blocked by terrain—a finding that held in both rural and urban areas. And even when someone died in a blind spot, it does not mean they did not pass through a tower’s line of sight. Additionally, these numerous blind spots indicate issues with the tower’s supposedly comprehensive coverage.

We found that nearly 350 people have died in range of Elbit’s towers since 2015. There were 40 people who died within range of four or more IFTs, with some near as many as six different towers. In May 2024, a 19-year-old man died where three IFTs had a clear view, and a year later, in May 2025, a 38-year-old woman died where two IFTs had a similarly clear view. Elbit did not respond to a detailed list of questions about its towers or deaths we found to have occurred near them. 

There’s been a death within range of 52 out of the 53 IFTs we analyzed, but some were particularly notable. There’s a tower located a couple of hours from Tucson on the Tohono O’odham reservation that we estimate has upwards of 80% visibility of the surrounding area. Still, 27 people, ages 19 to 64, have died in its surveillance area just since 2021, along with several others whose remains have not been identified. In 25 of these cases, we estimated that the tower had a clear line of sight to the location where the person died.

Stories of some of the people who died near IFTs


The age of autonomy

Around 2018, officials within Border Patrol were again discussing the limits of the towers. The new radar systems were better, but they could only detect movement, not what was moving. This generated false alerts from cattle, tumbleweeds, and other harmless activity. The now decades-old dream of the virtual wall remained unfulfilled. Under pressure from Congress, which was demanding to know what $33 billion in proposed funding for border security over the next decade was going to achieve, Border Patrol once again was hoping a new generation of technology could solve its problems.

That year the head of CBP, Kevin McAleenan, created a unit called the Innovation Team. “He gave them some seed money to go after kind of Silicon Valley innovative technologies and run pilots,” Borkowski says. 

One company they landed on was Anduril, the defense tech startup founded by Oculus VR founder Palmer Luckey. The company was without a product but had funding from Peter Thiel, recruits from the security tech giant Palantir, and a goal of bringing Silicon Valley experimentation to defense and national security technology. 

Border Patrol Surveillance Tower 567, along the southern U.S. border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.
An autonomous surveillance tower stands along the US-Mexico border. With billions in new funding, CBP plans to deploy thousands more surveillance towers in the coming years.

With grants from the Small Business Innovation Research program, Anduril’s product started taking shape: a 33-foot-tall solar-powered structure with cameras to see and radar to detect movement, all sitting atop a modular metal pole, with solar panels arrayed beneath. 

More important was the component you could not see: computer vision that promised to automatically classify, track, and generate alerts for what came within the system’s view. Anduril’s standard tower couldn’t see as far as the Elbit and General Dynamics models—about 1.75 miles instead of more than five—but, the company argued, it didn’t need to: By automatically identifying and tracking people, the towers could give agents enough warning to respond. (Its newer, extended-range towers, on the other hand, stand 80 feet tall and are advertised as able to detect and track “objects of interest” up to 7.5 miles away.) 

When President Trump left office in 2021, Anduril continued to find support from his successor. Joe Biden had campaigned on the promise of shutting down the project to expand the physical wall, but he saw political reasons to keep investment in tower technology on the table. “It’s less visible—it’s unobtrusive,” a former immigration advisor to Biden recalls, adding that despite some privacy concerns, the towers were mostly uncontroversial. 

When Border Patrol deployed Anduril towers to the Santa Teresa station in New Mexico in 2021, a press release stated, “Because of its accuracy with detection, in many cases this type of technology can and will save migrant lives.” In a permitting request filed in 2024 for towers in California, the government was even more explicit: “If anyone within the viewshed of the towers appears to be in distress, EMTs or first responders will be sent to help.” 

screenshots of video from autonomous towers shared by Customs and Border Patrol

Anduril echoed those claims. The software built into the surveillance towers, the company wrote in a 2021 press release, gets agents “out of communications operations centers and into the field where they can effectuate security and humanitarian responses.”

It wasn’t the first time CBP had discussed a humanitarian side to its duties; in 1998 the agency created BORSTAR, a search and rescue unit, and by August 2023, it had installed some 170 rescue beacons across the border that people attempting a crossing could theoretically use to call for help. But they weren’t effective, says Mario Agundez, a retired Border Patrol supervisor from Arizona who had worked on various rescue efforts; people either avoid them or “die next to them, because there was no way [for Border Patrol] to get to them in time.” (They don’t always work, either; one that MIT Technology Review passed, just next to a dirt road in the Otay Mountain wilderness area in Southern California, had its prominent solar-powered blue light, meant to be visible for miles to people in distress, turned off on a recent night in August. A CBP spokesperson did not comment on why it was off but said, “The solar-powered beacons are maintained and monitored by the responsible Border Patrol station that patrols that area.”)  

Anduril soared through a pilot phase in just two years before its Sentry towers—then the only autonomous surveillance towers CBP was using—moved into an official program of record with the government in 2020. That’s light speed in the world of government procurement, especially since it was Anduril’s first hardware product. By June 2021, CBP had already spent over $98 million (Anduril’s contract for these towers is now worth up to $1.1 billion). 


Gerardo Galvan was in charge of the Santa Teresa Border Patrol station—which patrols the area in New Mexico where Morales’s body was later found—when it received its first batch of Anduril surveillance towers in 2021. His agents were worn out; the El Paso sector, home to his station, had seen encounters tick up each month since April 2020. Galvan says the agents were surprised but eager to get the AI towers, and he began planning where to place them. The sites he was considering sat where one kind of landscape abruptly gives way to another. 

To the east of the station is Cristo Rey, a mountain that obscures the view of the city of El Paso. Running north from Cristo Rey is the state’s border with Texas, where the banks of the Rio Grande are flanked on either side by pecan orchards. And west of those orchards are the towns of Sunland Park and Santa Teresa. The last houses in these neighborhoods butt right up against the desert, which sprawls westward without a single gas station for nearly 100 miles.

It is in this stretch—between the US-Mexico border to the south and Highway 9 to the north—where agents from his station aimed to stop migrants. And when Galvan was planning the tower locations, there were lots of crossings; Santa Teresa was becoming the busiest station in the 125,500-square-mile El Paso sector, as heightened border enforcement in Texas drove people west. Along this new route, more people were dying than in previous years. (The traces of that period are still visible years later; MIT Technology Review visited the area with the humanitarian group Battalion Search and Rescue and saw jawbones bleached white by the sun, alongside frayed backpacks and clothes.)

Galvan’s aim was to use the new towers as a stopgap where there was little other border infrastructure. That included a spot near the foot of Mount Cristo Rey, where there was a break in the border fence and people often attempted to cross. Galvan looked at data on previous apprehensions with an eye toward helping agents spot people before they arrived in more residential neighborhoods. Border Patrol struck agreements with private landowners, who generally didn’t mind having Anduril’s low-profile towers on their land (and were compensated via lease agreements). 

When the towers were first set up near the Santa Teresa station in 2021, engineers from Anduril came to fine-tune the algorithms meant to autonomously classify whether what it had detected was a vehicle or a possible border crosser, among other things. A former engineer for Anduril, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss his previous employer, says these algorithms were the main focus of the tower program; Anduril didn’t manufacture the cameras or radar systems itself, so the algorithms were its main value proposition to Border Patrol. 

Galvan says the towers would flag people crossing before agents saw them. But he also saw problems from the start. Agents would apprehend a large group near one of the towers, for example, and check to see if the footage revealed anyone who got away, only to find that the incident hadn’t been captured at all. Anduril’s towers constantly pan around, lingering only on an object of interest. But in these cases, Galvan says, they panned elsewhere, failing to capture the border crossers they were supposed to automatically track.  

Reyes says algorithm mistakes were infrequent but problematic at his station. A group of people was sometimes labeled as cattle, for example, and agents wouldn’t receive an alert. The problem got worse the farther groups were from the camera.

Anduril has touted its technology’s ability to reduce false positives, like cases in which wildlife is mistaken for people. But the company has said little about these false negatives: people the systems fail to detect.

Jaime Fierro, the former agent in the Laredo sector in Texas, describes one incident that shocked him: Agents pursued a car believed to be carrying migrants who had just crossed the border. The car turned around, drove toward the banks of the Rio Grande less than 100 feet from an Anduril tower, and crashed right into the river. Several occupants got out and swam to Mexico while the car floated in the water. Back at the station, Fierro hurried to see what the camera had picked up. Only it never detected the incident at all. There was no footage. “That was a huge, huge issue,” Fierro says. He remembers Anduril coming out to investigate and the problem being sent all the way up to Washington leadership. But Fierro never got an explanation of why the crash was missed. (An Anduril spokesperson did not respond to a question about this incident but said the range of the towers we asked about was limited by physical obstructions and by boundaries established by CBP. )

Several agents estimate that the towers initially missed 10% to 15% of what they should in theory have caught. “To us, 10-15% on a system we spent millions on that was supposed to work—that was alarming,” Fierro says.

Philip Sullivan worked as an agent in the Laredo sector too. When the Anduril program started, he says, he put his hand up to be involved and even went to an Anduril test site for training. When new towers went up, he worked directly with the company on improving its algorithms. He enjoyed the work. But he describes one recurring issue they couldn’t resolve.

Smugglers would put up to a dozen people on a rubber raft, cover them with a tarp, and cross the Rio Grande while using submersible motors to propel it forward. The tarp fooled the algorithm, which detected the motion but attributed it only to an “unidentified object.” That meant no audible alert—the very feature agents relied on, because the Anduril system was supposed to do the watching for them. 

The smugglers repeated the tactic dozens of times. Other smugglers would cover groups with netting or blankets so they would remain undetected while walking through the brush. Only afterwards, having seen the group farther inland and noticed clues about where the people had crossed, would Sullivan review the footage and see the crossings that were missed. He worked with Anduril, sending engineers videos of the crossings to retrain the firm’s algorithms. But the situation had not improved by the time he got promoted to a sector-level job sometime in 2022, he says.

“The whole purpose of their system,” Sullivan says, was the idea that “the cameras are moving around, identifying automatically and tracking and recording and flagging.” Having cameras that could pan on their own worked wonders, he says. But the algorithm had its limits. “You look at it on the screen yourself, and you see the blob and the raft moving across—well, you know that’s people. But to get an AI to identify that is a challenge.”

When the towers were first being rolled out at the Santa Teresa station in 2021 and 2022, Galvan says, similar issues led to a negative feedback loop: An agent would see a tower miss something significant and come to distrust the algorithm. When that agent’s turn came to operate the towers and manage the alerts, they might override the AI altogether and use the camera manually. That would lead to more missed alerts, more distrust.

Despite these shortcomings, the El Paso sector’s relatively flat landscape meant that the system’s cameras had about 80% to 90% visibility, according to our topographical analysis. That was better than in hillier or more mountainous areas, like the Otay Mountain Wilderness to the east of San Diego, where we estimate Anduril’s towers could see just 15% to 25% of their promised coverage area. 

An autonomous surveillance tower along the southern US border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.
An autonomous surveillance tower along the southern US border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.

It was in this wilderness, in fact, that some of the first bodies started appearing near Anduril’s towers. During one week in August 2021, two women in their 20s, from the same city in Mexico, died miles apart. Their bodies were found near three different towers that were first observed on satellite imagery between March and July that year. 

One of them, 26-year-old Sarahi Hernández Alfonso, began her journey to cross into the US on August 5, and medical investigators note that she reportedly fainted the next day near the Otay Mountain Wilderness and was left behind. It would be another four days before the Mexican government reported her missing to Border Patrol on August 10, supplying a set of coordinates. Agents went to those coordinates and found her decomposing body. She’d died 1.3 miles from two different Anduril towers, one of which our analysis found had a clear line of sight.

Just the day before, 25-year-old Karina López Antonio was found dead near a third Anduril tower. She had crossed the previous night with her cousin and nephew. That morning, she felt sick, and her nephew looked for a Border Patrol agent to help. When agents returned, she was dead. 

The following October in New Mexico, where the new Anduril towers had been rolled out, agents were patrolling on ATVs when they came across footprints. They followed them until they found the body of 31-year-old César Perea Itzincab. The presence of maggots and the level of decomposition indicated that he had died at least a week earlier, and medical examiners on the scene believe he had dragged himself to the spot where his remains were found. He was 1.5 miles away from an autonomous tower—within Anduril’s advertised range—and should have been visible to the camera, according to our topographical analysis.

We can’t know what those cameras saw as these people died. Footage and data from Anduril’s towers are overwritten every 30 days, and a former official with internal affairs at CBP told us the information wouldn’t be saved for longer unless it was part of an active investigation—which starts only if someone dies in custody. CBP did not respond to questions about specific incidents like this one, and the Sunland Park Police Department closes cases like this when it determines that no crime has been committed. 

The lack of documentation is a missed opportunity, says Amerika Garcia Grewal, co-director of the Frontera Federation, which aims to help rescue migrants in distress—or find and identify their remains. “The surveillance towers along the border could be incredibly useful,” she told us. For example, they could in principle be used to hold Border Patrol agents accountable for whatever actions they did or did not take to locate someone in distress. “What the tool turns out [to do] depends on the person who is holding it,” she says, adding, “I don’t trust the folks that are using them.”

“If I could get that footage,” she says, “then we would go through that, and hopefully bring some answers” to family members and “documented proof of what happened” in their loved ones’ final moments. 

When asked about deaths near Anduril towers, agents often point to faults in the technology. Galvan, for example, says the towers don’t capture how groups move: A large group of 20 people might splinter into smaller groups, especially if agents are pursuing them, and the tower doesn’t keep track of everyone. If someone’s missed, he says, “that person stays behind in the brush, out of sight.” Then they might pass out—which could be a death sentence in the desert. 

And though Border Patrol says the towers can “hand off” surveillance of people from one tower to another, agents on the ground say that people are often missed during these handoffs. On top of that, the algorithms remain imperfect, according to Jason Owens, the chief of Border Patrol from June 2023 to March 2025. “We never really got to the point of ‘Set it and forget it,’” he says.

Agents also say they were just stretched too thin to respond effectively. Around 2022 and 2023, the border saw historically high levels of migration. Title 42, a policy that began under Trump and continued under Biden until May 2023, cited a public health emergency to expel migrants before they could apply for asylum. But the rapid expulsions carried fewer of the repercussions that could normally follow an apprehension, and many people simply tried to cross again.

Meanwhile, asylum claims had been rising for years, while shifts in US immigration policy and in the places migrants where originating from meant more people required lengthy processing rather than being quickly returned across the border or to their home countries. That increasingly tied up agents with people who had already been apprehended, they said, leaving fewer available to respond to surveillance alerts. 

In other words, from the agents’ perspective, the effectiveness of Anduril’s towers was limited by the same issue that had always caused trouble: There just weren’t enough agents.

Palmer Luckey, a founder of Anduril, among the equipment at his company's testing range near Camp Pendleton in Southern California on Feb. 3, 2021.
Palmer Luckey, a founder of Anduril, surveys the equipment at his company’s testing range near Camp Pendleton in Southern California on February 3, 2021.

But the overwhelming demands on agents cannot explain all the deaths our investigation found. In 2024, the border started to get quiet again. By July of that year, the number of Border Patrol encounters nationwide had plummeted from their highs in December 2022. Encounters in the El Paso sector, where the Anduril towers in New Mexico were located, had fallen to nearly one-tenth of their peak. Agents were less tied up than they’d been in years. The technology was supposedly improving, too. 

Galvan had left for a promotion by this time, but he says agents had come to trust the towers more, and they helped train the algorithm by giving a thumbs up or thumbs down if the system identified something correctly or incorrectly. There was also a new smartphone program: Every agent at the station was given an Android device with a map of where other agents were, and it sent alerts from the station about what an Anduril tower detected. 

Despite all this, the deaths near towers continued. There was Morales in April, whose body Border Patrol learned about only from the landfill workers, though it had lain for hours within sight of an Anduril tower. 

Others were discovered by luck. 

What’s at the border today and what’s coming next

On June 20, Border Patrol agents were mistakenly tracking a group of people they thought might be migrants, though they were in fact employees of the same landfill. Those employees told the agents they had come across a body, which turned out to be partially mummified remains of a man in his 40s who died within range of two Anduril towers. 

Three days later, on the 23rd, another: the body of a 21-year-old Guatemalan man discovered by agents while on patrol, 1.3 miles from a tower across clear and open desert. Two days after that, another: An agent was looking for a lost person when he came across the remains of a 56-year-old man—just a football field’s distance from the previous one, with a similarly clear and unobstructed view to a tower.

So if Santa Teresa had gotten quieter—and become something of a showcase for Border Patrol’s newest technology efforts—what was going on?

“Agents review the information and determine the appropriate response—the technology does not make law enforcement decisions,” Beckham, CBP’s assistant commissioner, said. Meanwhile, individual agents described scenarios where they might not prioritize responding to alerts.

Sometimes “hanging back” was a strategy: Agents might observe a group to see what route they would take, or agents might not respond to a small group, in case those people had been sent by smugglers to distract from a larger group coming behind them. Other times, agents might deem the location where a group of migrants had first been spotted to be impractical for an apprehension, and instead wait to intercept them at another location.

Knowing someone’s location didn’t always lead to immediate action. Volunteers describe providing Border Patrol with the coordinates of someone who was lost but alive and then waiting, “sometimes [for] a week,” for agents to reach the location, says Garcia Grewal, from Eagle Pass, Texas. They might be told “Oh, so-and-so went out there and they found remains,” she recalls. “Well, they weren’t remains when we called you. They were alive.”

Discarded belt seen near the southern US border, Sunland Park, New Mexico.
Near the southern US border, Sunland Park, New Mexico.

Mireya Morales, the younger sister of José Morales Bernal, who died by the landfill on the day before his birthday in April 2024, wasn’t aware her brother died near several surveillance towers, or that the government said these towers could save lives. “Well that’s good,” she said of that promise, “but in this case, it didn’t help my brother. And there’s no way to know exactly how things played out.”

“Border Patrol should have found him quickly,” she says, “and they could have done something.” If they did, this journey into the United States—his fourth trip—likely would have ended with his apprehension, detention, and deportation to Mexico. But he would have seen the birthday texts that his sister sent the next day. At least he would have made it home to celebrate his eldest daughter’s quinceañera, which took place earlier this year.

Stories like this are why Iván Chaar López, an assistant professor of American studies at the University of Texas at Austin who leads its Border Tech Lab, says he’d “rather talk about harms” than about “the failure of an algorithm.” He adds, “A system may fail, but humans suffer.” 

Stories of some of the people that died near Anduril’s autonomous surveillance towers

What happens next

Ultimately, any attempt to understand where things are going wrong is hampered by an institutional reluctance to measure the problem.

A complete audit of this virtual wall can only come from Border Patrol. The agency is, in some ways, increasingly equipped to take on that task: Agents told us that each time they apprehend someone, the location is logged with GPS coordinates, as are instances when Border Patrol sees evidence that someone crossed but cannot find them. It also has precise data on when each surveillance tower went up, which alerts came in, and how they were resolved. Having that information is the only way to measure whether the newest towers are truly missing fewer people than the previous generations. 

But researchers and outside oversight agencies say this ocean of data hasn’t translated into a reliable system for measuring the effectiveness of the virtual wall. For example, CBP records the people it misses by logging “gotaways,” a tally of how many times agents see signs of someone who evaded apprehension—footprints, appearances on camera, reports from other people who were apprehended. It’s imperfect. And that creates room for interpretation.

“The goals with border enforcement have always been a moving target,” says Jeremy Slack, a researcher of migration and border issues at the University of Texas at El Paso. “They’re always set up so that it’s a win-win.” If apprehensions go up, for example, CBP says it means agents have gotten more effective at catching people. If apprehensions go down, it means the border is quiet because people are too scared to cross. 

Workers install panels and construct new all-weather roads as part of a border wall construction project east of Nogales, Arizona, in July 2026.

That’s not to mention the conflicting ideas within the agency about what the virtual wall was supposed to accomplish. Borkowski says higher-ups would ask how many fewer agents they could get by with if they built more towers. But supervisors receiving new towers told us they’d often ask for more agents, not fewer, because they now had more activity to respond to that had previously gone unseen. 

And if the goal was for the sight of the towers to deter people from crossing to begin with, an external study from RAND in 2020 was ambiguous: It found that deploying IFTs resulted in lower apprehension levels nearby but said this didn’t mean the towers were actually deterring crossings. (Research by Boyce and colleagues found that earlier surveillance towers in southern Arizona pushed people to seek more difficult terrain out of view.) It leads to a question: Do the deaths near the virtual wall constitute unacceptable surveillance failures, or are they within the range of effectiveness the government deems acceptable? (CBP’s response did not address our questions on how it explains these deaths.)

Against this backdrop, the Government Accountability Office and DHS’s Office of the Inspector General have tried to focus on a narrower question: Is the virtual wall increasing the likelihood of apprehensions? 

The answer has been incomplete since 2014. That’s when the GAO first suggested that whenever agents log their activity in Border Patrol’s database, they should include information about whether or not a piece of technology helped in their apprehension. This could at least do something to show Congress whether the technology is working. Border Patrol began collecting that information, but years of incremental improvements have been followed by repeated findings that the resulting data is unreliable or insufficient to determine how well the technology works. The reality, several people from Border Patrol told MIT Technology Review, is that agents see it as a chore demanded only by bureaucrats who don’t understand the realities of the border. 

It’s “spitting in the wind, to be honest,” a former high-ranking official at DHS during the Biden administration told MIT Technology Review on background. “If we have 10,000 people a day crossing in between the ports of entry, do you think an agent is worried about telling them how they freaking apprehended those people?” Several other officials said that the logging of technology assists had improved, but not consistently enough to help much with analysis. 

And there is no procedure—at the local or national level—to examine individual deaths near the towers or analyze them collectively for surveillance failures. “We never thought about plotting [migrant deaths] to see if the towers were missing things or agents were missing people,” said a former CBP official who evaluated how personnel handled deaths in custody.

“Nobody ever raised the issue,” the official said, adding that doing so could reveal important gaps in the agency’s approach: “If I still worked for CBP, and you brought it up, I would probably send some people to look.”

In response to questions from MIT Technology Review, CBP said that autonomous surveillance towers complement physical barriers by improving detection and situational awareness. Its statement did not address questions about its other technologies, or broader criticisms about how it evaluates the virtual wall.

Border Patrol Surveillance Tower 567, along the southern U.S. border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.
An autonomous surveillance tower along the southern US border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.

This lack of measurement has not slowed the enthusiasm for more technology funding. The government spending bill passed in July 2025 awarded $2.7 billion for border security technology alone, and CBP was quick to signal to industry that the money would soon start flowing. “We’ve got an historic investment in infrastructure and technology coming up,” a CBP director told tech companies in an industry webinar that month. In a December 2025 interview, when he was director of homeland security and immigration at the America First Policy Institute, Cooper Smith described the technology investments as “fortifying” the border against a future president who might be, in his estimation, weaker on the border than Trump. (According to LegiStorm, a research organization that focuses on political staffers, Smith now serves in a policy-focused role with CBP.) The number of Border Patrol agents has climbed too, to nearly 21,500 agents as of June 2026—the highest in the agency’s history. 

In the Big Bend region of Texas, surveillance towers are becoming a focus of local politics: Officials and residents across party lines, including the sheriff of Terrell County, are asking for Anduril towers instead of a controversial new border barrier project that’s recently been halted.

CBP has announced a desire to spend $1 billion on nearly 1,500 more towers by 2034. The law now requires all these towers to be equipped with AI. In December 2025, Anduril’s Palmer Luckey said the towers remained the company’s best-selling product, one that gives “basically perfect situational awareness of what’s going on in the area.” Anduril’s towers have been sold abroad—to enforce the UK’s borders, defend US Marine Corps bases in Japan and elsewhere, and serve as drone defenses for an Australian Air Force base. 

But as for CBP, Anduril will no longer be the only game in town; General Dynamics has now released AI towers of its own and received an order for them in June from CBP worth up to $115 million. The Electronic Frontier Foundation—which has tracked surveillance towers since 2022—says some have already been spotted at the border.

This time around, the agency will be spending this money with even less oversight than it had just a couple of years ago. In October 2025, the Department of Homeland Security, which oversees CBP, dissolved its department-level office that oversaw major spending programs.

Border Patrol Surveillance Tower 489, along the southern U.S. border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.
An autonomous surveillance tower along the southern US border in Sunland Park, New Mexico.

Most of the records on human remains that MIT Technology Review collected were current only through the fall of 2025 or, in a handful of cases, early 2026. Even those dates come with a caveat: Many remains are never found, and others are found months after someone died. The reports can then take months to be released via public record requests. That makes it nearly impossible to keep track of how many people have died near surveillance towers in anything close to real time.

Still, the border today is significantly quieter. The latest figures from DHS show just 128,009 “enforcement encounters” from January to August 2026, compared with more than 2.4 million during the same period in 2024 (“encounters” count each of Border Patrol’s interactions, not individual people).

Even as border crossing rates decrease and DHS speeds ahead with its tower acquisition plans, people are still dying within range of the surveillance towers.   

On September 14 2025, a 30-year-old Mexican woman named Graciela Gómez Hernández died just over 350 yards away from the physical border wall that separated Southern California from Tijuana—and within one mile of an RVSS tower. Earlier that afternoon, she had told her family that she could not walk any further, and her voice notes abruptly stopped. 

Her skeletonized remains were recovered nearly three weeks later, on October 4. Some of her bones were missing, and there was “apparent animal activity … to the ribs,” as the medical examiner’s report read. 

Sara Stroud, an organizer with the Borderlands Relief Collective, a volunteer humanitarian group that leaves water and supplies in a wilderness area frequented by people crossing the border, went to the site of her death a few days later to put up a memorial cross. A Border Patrol helicopter showed up almost immediately, flying low circles above the volunteers. 

Between the helicopter and the RVSS tower that was visible in the background, “I was astounded about how we were being surveilled the whole time,” Stroud says, adding that this was especially stark in contrast to the agency’s often slow—or absent—responses to people who’d died on camera. 

“Are you telling me you didn’t see it or you did see it?” she asks. “Because if you did see it, that’s horrible. And if they can’t, then how do you explain that?”

Additional reporting by Lillian Perlmutter.

This work was supported by a grant from the Tarbell Center for AI Journalism.

by James O’Donnell & Eileen Guo

News about the heat wave in the UK (26 June 2026)

European heatwave is worst ever and impossible without climate crisis, scientists say (The Guardian)

Study also finds high humidity means people in hundreds of cities are enduring their worst ever heat stress

Original article

Damian Carrington – Environment editor

Fri 26 Jun 2026 05.00 BST

The heatwave scorching western Europe is the most severe and widespread ever and is only possible due to the climate crisis driven by fossil fuel burning, scientists have said.

Almost half of Europe’s 850 largest cities are also enduring their worst ever heat stress, a combination of temperature and humidity, they found. Muggier conditions mean sweating is less effective at cooling the body, making heatwaves even more dangerous.

The analysis comes as the UK recorded its hottest ever June temperature on Thursday, 36.7C (98.06F) in Somerset, and much of western Europe recorded a sharp rise in medical emergencies, including some deaths.

In summer 2022, more than 60,000 people died due to heat in Europe. The statistical analysis needed to assess the impact of the current heatwave will take time to complete. Nonetheless, the heatwave is certain to exact a heavy toll and is also disrupting lives and livelihoods, with schools closed, hospitals struggling and rail and air journeys cancelled across the continent.

The new analysis by scientists from the World Weather Attribution (WWA) consortium shows how rapidly extreme heat is worsening as carbon pollution continues to pile up in the atmosphere. As recently as 2003, a heatwave like the current one in Europe would have been 2C cooler due to the lower level of global heating at the time. In 1976, another famous heatwave year, it would have been 3.5C cooler.

The sweltering night-time temperatures currently harming people’s sleep are about 100 times more likely today than in 2003. The scientists warned that without urgent climate action, future heat conditions would get even more extreme and the current summer could seem relatively cool in retrospect.

“This is the most severe and widespread heatwave to have ever affected this large a region of Europe,” said Dr Theodore Keeping, an extreme weather research associate at Imperial College London and part of the WWA team. “We found that in the last 50 years, during which time the planet has warmed by 1.1C, the chance of a heatwave like this has changed immensely. This event would not have been possible in June without climate change. But do we expect this to be a cool summer going forward? That’s absolutely the case.”

He said many capital cities were experiencing not only their hottest recorded three-day period in June but the hottest three-day period at any time of year. At least 100 million people in Europe were expected to face temperatures above 35C on Thursday.

The scientists used wet bulb globe temperatures to assess the additional impact of high humidity. “It accounts for the ability of the human body to cool itself down. With the worst conditions ever experienced in 45% of cities over 50,000 people, the health impacts of this heatwave are likely to be extremely high,” Keeping said. “The speed of change is startling.”

Commenting on the WWA analysis, Simon Stiell, the UN’s climate chief, said: “Climate change is running rampant, caused by the world’s addiction to burning coal, oil and gas. But the solutions are equally clear: a faster shift to clean energy – which is now much cheaper than fossil fuels – as well as protecting forests and building climate resilience.”

The WWA team used both observed and reliable forecast temperature data to analyse the hottest three-day period across a large area of western Europe, which is sitting under a “heat dome”. Using peer-reviewed methods, they found unequivocally that climate change was the driving force behind the severity of the heat.

They ruled out natural variability of the weather, in particular any influence from the El Niño event that has begun in the Pacific Ocean. The current weather pattern, a blocked high-pressure system trapping hot air over Europe and drawing warm air up from the Sahara, is not unusual in summer, the scientists said. Instead, the level of heat has been supercharged by global heating.

Carolina Pereira Marghidan, of the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, said: “After the devastating 2003 heatwave in Europe, many countries invested in early warning systems and action plans. Research shows that those have saved many lives, but it’s not enough.”


Heatwave Britain must do more to prepare for this scorching new normal (The Independent)

Editorial: As the UK swelters and June temperature records tumble, the government must redouble its investment in resilience policies that meet the future rather than ignore it

Friday 26 June 2026 11:56 BST

Original article

The “red alerts” issued by the Meteorological Office are rare, serious, and speak just as much to the climate crisis facing planet Earth as they do to the immediate risks to human health in Britain.

Perhaps it is the heat making the more vocal climate-change deniers dismiss the sweltering evidence before them, but against the backdrop of these record-breaking temperatures, their claims that “it’s just weather” appear in the worst of taste, and dangerous with it.

Temperatures approaching 40C in June are not normal. But they are increasingly frequent. So are extraordinarily wet winters. The reality of climate change from global warming, and the danger that it will accelerate into an unpredictable and catastrophic cycle by the middle of the century, should be treated with the urgency the moment demands.

In countries such as Britain, built on the perfectly natural presumption of a permanently temperate climate, there is an all too obvious need to increase resilience, from railway tracks to the foundations of buildings and flood defences.

A few years ago, this position was common ground. During his recent, almost valedictory appearance at Prime Minister’s Questions, Sir Keir Starmer bemoaned the loss of national purpose in restraining greenhouse gas emissions and pursuing the target of a net zero UK economy by 2050. After all, for all his fatal flaws, Boris Johnson accepted the science and the need for action at successive Cop summits, and it was Theresa May who put the net zero target into law.

Now Kemi Badenoch calls herself a “net zero sceptic” – rather too close to flat-Earthism for a serious politician. Still worse is the fracturing of the international consensus by an anti-science elite: Donald Trump’s inexplicable insistence that climate change is a “hoax” will be his true legacy to future generations.

Under the pressure of the cost of living crisis, strained public finances, and the frankly malign influence of the fossil-fuel lobby on British politics, the public and politicians alike have found more immediate, quotidian matters to fret about. This approach is perfectly understandable, but deeply flawed. Climate change, with its costly consequences for every nation and every human being, is an inconvenient truth, and an issue that should transcend all others.

In fact, humanity cannot afford to ignore the fact that renewable sources – alongside a role for nuclear power – can produce cheap, plentiful and clean energy. They will have to be adopted in any case, because fossil fuels are a finite resource, carry unacceptable geopolitical risks, and will so alter life on Earth as to render it almost unrecognisable, just as the weather is now. The drive to net zero is not a burden or an obstacle to higher standards of living, but the way to achieve hitherto unknown prosperity – especially if the voracious appetite for energy of the AI data centres can be satisfied without engendering irreversible climate change.

Paying for the massive investment in green power has always been the issue, but rarely is it set against the cost of doing nothing – crop failure, buildings collapsing from subsidence, increased incidence of earthquakes, hurricanes and floods, widespread disruption to transport and industry, and the flows of humans that will inevitably follow from the desertification of sub-Saharan Africa and water shortages across the equatorial regions.

What would the loss of pollinating insects and the rainforests do to our way of life? We know that it would not be cheap, or even possible, to fix.

Even if it is practically impossible to reverse climate change, we can still limit it. Some imaginative solutions will need to be found. How, for example, to discourage people from installing central heating systems – the wrong kind of resilience when powered in part by burning natural gas, thus creating a vicious cycle.

Could we reform school term times, which still revolve around the long-gone need to get the harvest in? Are there novel ways to bolster flood defences, both at the riverside and at the coast? Can we mandate the installation of new railway tracks that are less susceptible to buckling? What can the insurance sector do to help people affected by subsidence – especially as the UK has such an old housing stock? Must we shut motorways for hours after an accident, when people then have little access to water and shade?

The prime minister is right to have set up Cobra meetings to monitor the situation, but he, or more likely his successor, should also work on the ways in which we can protect lives – and the economy – from a hotter, damper future. And of course, the drive for net zero has to go on, because doing nothing cannot be an option.

Onda de calor na Europa é a mais severa de todos os tempos, mostra estudo (Folha de S.Paulo)

  • Análise do Imperial College mostra que evento atual seria impossível há 50 anos
  • Mudança climática tornou dias de temperatura recorde 500 vezes mais prováveis

26.jun.2026 à 1h00

Artigo original

José Henrique Mariante

Berlim

“Esta é a onda de calor mais intensa e abrangente que já atingiu essa ampla região da Europa.” Theodore Keeping, pesquisador associado do Imperial College, deixa os números de lado ao explicar a jornalistas o que ocorre nesta semana na Europa. A mudança climática criou um evento virtualmente impossível há 50 anos.

Essas e outras conclusões constam de estudo publicado nesta sexta-feira (26) pelo WWA (World Weather Attribution), consórcio de cientistas liderados pela instituição londrina que verifica a responsabilidade da mudança climática em eventos extremos.

“Nos últimos 50 anos, o planeta aqueceu 1,1°C. Nesse período, a probabilidade de uma onda de calor como essa mudou imensamente. Esse evento não teria sido possível [na Europa] em um mês de junho sem as mudanças climáticas”, diz Keeping. “As temperaturas noturnas registradas não teriam sido possíveis em nenhuma época do ano sem as mudanças climáticas”, reitera.

Dez pessoas nadam em um canal largo cercado por árvores e iluminação pública acesa ao entardecer. O ambiente urbano ao redor está pouco iluminado, com luzes pontuais ao longo das margens do canal.
Parisienses nadam no canal de Saint-Martin, em Paris, na noite de quinta-feira (25); a liberação de banho no local foi antecipada em razão da onda de calor recorde que assola a Europa nesta semana – Ludovic Marin/AFP

A responsabilidade pela crise do clima, mostra a ciência, reside sobretudo na queima de carvão, petróleo e gás. Ou, como diz Simon Stiell, chefe do clima na ONU, no “vício mundial” pela energia suja, mais cara do que as alternativas renováveis.

A probabilidade de que temperaturas máximas diárias como as desta semana ocorram durante três dias seguidos em qualquer época do ano aumentou mais de 500 vezes, calcula o estudo.

Na quinta-feira (25), a França registrou pelo terceiro dia consecutivo seu dia mais quente da história; a Météo-France informou que também a noite francesa foi a mais quente já registrada.

Duas estações nucleares foram desligadas no país devido ao aquecimento excessivo da água de rio utilizada para refrigerar os reatores.

As chamadas noites tropicais, quase uma rotina desde o fim de semana no Reino Unido, Espanha e na própria França, já alcançam Alemanha, Áustria e Itália. Quando os termômetros se mantêm acima dos 20°C no período noturno, o resfriamento do solo não ocorre e projeta um dia ainda mais quente na manhã seguinte.

A condição climática é considerada grave pela OMM (Organização Mundial de Meteorologia) por impedir a recuperação do corpo humano após um dia de esforço combatendo o calor. Provoca fadiga e doenças relacionadas ao calor, especialmente em crianças, idosos e portadores de comorbidades.

O serviço de ambulâncias de Londres nunca foi tão acionado como nesta quinta-feira, com 642 chamados. Em Paris, a venda de bebidas alcoólicas foi proibida durante os períodos mais quentes do dia e à noite, medida preventiva diante de serviços de saúde saturados. Mortes foram registradas na Itália e na Espanha.

Apenas 20% das edificações na Europa têm ar condicionado. No Reino Unido, o número está perto de 5%. “Muitas residências, escolas e sistemas de transporte, bem como outras infraestruturas essenciais, foram projetadas para um clima mais frio, especialmente no noroeste do continente”, afirma Carolina Pereira Marghidan, do Centro de Clima da Cruz Vermelha Crescente Vermelho, que também participa do estudo do WWA.

A situação é diferente de 2003, quando uma onda de calor histórica matou mais de 70 mil pessoas no continente, grande parte idosos. “Muitos países investiram em sistemas de alerta precoce e planos de ação. Pesquisas mostram que essas medidas salvaram muitas vidas nas últimas décadas. A conscientização também cresceu muito, tudo isso é importante, mas não suficiente”, diz a pesquisadora.

Em entrevista ao jornal Le Monde, o prefeito de Paris, Emmanuel Grégoire, usou as escolas da cidade como exemplo para o tamanho da tarefa: com apenas 200 de 600 prédios adaptados ao calor, mesmo que existisse dinheiro para reformar tudo não haveria prestadores de serviço suficientes para terminar a tarefa em poucos anos.

“Para nos adaptarmos, precisamos mudar o ritmo de nossas vidas.”

Segundo o estudo do WWA, 45% de 854 cidades analisadas em 30 países europeus já bateram ou devem bater em junho marcas históricas de Índice de Bulbo Úmido Termômetro de Globo. O IBUTG, amplamente divulgado pela sigla em inglês (WBGT), é uma medida do estresse térmico e da capacidade do corpo de se resfriar por meio da evaporação do suor.

A combinação de calor intenso e umidade é perigosa, dizem os especialistas. Quando o corpo sua, o intuito é resfriá-lo. Com a umidade, o mecanismo perde eficácia.

A análise também compara o planeta atual, com 1,4°C de aquecimento global em comparação aos níveis pré-industriais, com aquele que testemunhou ondas de calor marcantes não apenas em 2003, como também em 1976.

Há 50 anos, um evento como o atual seria 3,5°C mais frio; há 23 anos, a ocorrência de noites tropicais como a desta semana seriam 100 vezes menos prováveis. E não dá para colocar a culpa no El Niño, condição climática que exacerba a ocorrência de secas e de chuvas extremas. O estudo afasta essa possibilidade.

“Sim, é a mudança climática; sim, a culpa é nossa; não, não é o El Niño. Sim, temos as soluções; não, não estamos colocando-as em prática com a rapidez necessária”, resume Friederike Otto, professora de Ciência do Clima do Imperial College.

“A questão é realmente que tipo de futuro queremos.”

Heat waves mess with your brain. Scientists are trying to figure out why. (MIT Technology Review)

Children and people with mental health disorders are especially vulnerable.

technologyreview.com

Original article

Jessica Hamzelou

June 26, 2026


It’s been hot in London this week. Really hot. A dangerous heat wave has hit Western Europe. Yesterday, the UK recorded its highest ever June temperature at 36.1 °C (about 97 °F). But as the weather app on my phone confirmed, it felt like 39 °C.

It’s frightening that we are seeing such temperatures in the UK in June. According to the Met Office, the country’s national weather and climate service, June temperatures peaked at an average 19 °C (66 °F) in England between 1991 and 2020. Across Europe, the heat wave is likely to cause thousands of deaths. There will be other awful consequences for agriculture, infrastructure, and the health system.

But this week I want to look at what the heat does to our minds and brains. Personally, I’ve found it almost impossible to think straight. The heat is distracting and my mind is foggy. I dread to think about the conditions of people who work outdoors, in even hotter regions.

It’s not just exhaustion and confusion. The effects of heat on the brain can be deadly. And researchers are still trying to figure out why.

Studies have confirmed that as temperatures rise, people seem to get more irritable and more violent. Most of these studies are based on associations, though. It’s difficult to directly study how a heat wave might affect our thinking, says Catherine Thompson, a cognitive psychologist at Liverpool Hope University. 

She has been studying the effects of extreme heat on firefighters instead. It’s easier to measure people’s cognitive skills before and after they undergo scheduled training that involves entering a burning building.  

It’s early days, but the team found that firefighters found it harder to focus and control their attention immediately after heat exposure—something people in heat waves can empathize with, I’m sure. 

The firefighters’ skills returned to normal after 20 minutes or so of cooling down. But they’d experienced just 15 minutes of intense heat exposure. Thompson doesn’t know what the effects of living through a days-long heat wave might be—or how long they’ll last. Figuring that out might involve shipping cognitive test kits to thousands of people during the few days’ notice of an impending heat wave. “My guess [is] that no one’s done it because it’s just so difficult to do,” says Thompson. 

Still, researchers can learn about some of the impacts of heat waves through studies after the fact. And those studies suggest that the heat seems to have more disastrous outcomes for people with mental-health disorders. 

Those outcomes become apparent when temperatures rise above what is considered typical for a given region. “There seems to be a correlation where the hotter it gets, especially during the hottest times of the year, the worse the mental-health outcomes,” says Joshua Wortzel, who directs the Heat-Mind Lab at Hartford HealthCare in Connecticut.

In a study published in 2023, Emma Lawrence at the University of Oxford, who studies the effect of climate change on mental health, and her colleagues reviewed the evidence linking mental-health outcomes to ambient outdoor temperatures. They found that during heat waves, there was a 9.7% increase in the rate of hospital admissions for people with such conditions. 

“People who live with mental-health conditions are among the most susceptible to the physical impacts of heat,” says Lawrence. People with schizophrenia were found to have been three times more likely to die during the record-breaking heat wave that affected Canada in 2021, for example.

In order to protect people, we need a better understanding of the mechanisms underlying these effects. After all, a lot of things change when it’s very, very hot. Some people may end up stuck indoors, avoiding outdoor play and exercise, and it can be difficult to get a good night of sleep, for example. Sleep, socializing, and exercise are all really important for our mental health. 

But whether unusual heat does something specific to our brains is, as Wortzel puts it, “the million-dollar question.”

Research in lab animals suggests that excessive heat can alter the way chemical signals work in our brain. The levels of neurotransmitters like serotonin, for example, seem to increase when rats and mice are exposed to high temperatures, according to multiple studies. The heat may also interfere with the way networks in our brains communicate with each other. It might affect the way oxygen reaches our brain cells.

“There are so many biological reasons why brains may be negatively affected by heat,” says Wortzel.

Emerging research suggests that for whatever reason, children and young people are among the most vulnerable. In research published earlier this week, Wortzel and his colleagues saw a 2.97% increase in the suicide rate among people in the US aged 15 to 24 for every 1 °C increase in average monthly temperature. That’s more than double the increase seen in people over the age of 24 (which is concerning in its own right).

Other work hints that heat exposure might have long-term consequences for children’s brain development. Babies who were exposed to either extreme heat or cold appeared to have altered white matter by the time they were nine to 12 years old—although it’s not clear how these impacts might affect an individual child.

“It seems that extreme temperature exposure for very young children may affect their brain development,” says Lawrence, who spoke to me from Oxford. She was meant to be in London for Climate Action Week, but her event, which focused on extreme heat, ended up being canceled … owing to the extreme heat.

We are living through the effects of climate change. And that brings a new urgency to the question of how heat affects our brains. Children born in 2020 are predicted to experience around seven times the number of heat waves their grandparents did, says Lawrance. “[We] need to be serious about adapting to a warming world.”

One day of extreme heat tied to 3,400 excess deaths in India, nearly 30,000 over five days: study (Carbon Brief)

Original article

June 2, 2026

Priyanjali Narayan, Hindustan Times

A single day of extreme heat in India is associated with an estimated 3,400 excess deaths, while a heatwave lasting five consecutive days could lead to around 30,000 additional deaths, according to a study covered by the Hindustan Times. The newspaper explains that University of California, Berkeley researchers adapted findings from a multi-city study of heat-related deaths in 10 Indian cities and applied them to entire districts. India Today notes that these numbers are significant because official government counts are so low – “sometimes just a few hundred in a bad season, because many heat-related deaths are not labelled as such”. The researchers tell the Wire that their estimates are likely still “conservative”. The news outlet says “such evidence‑based estimates for heat can help us argue for investment in heat‑resilient infrastructure, systems and processes”. 

BBC News reports from Banda, Uttar Pradesh, a region that was the hottest place in India in May, reaching 47-48C. The outlet notes that, according to the new study, Uttar Pradesh alone could account for more than 8,000 excess deaths during a severe five-day heatwave.

MORE ON EXTREME HEAT

  • A Guardian article explores how “cool roofs” with reflective paint could “help millions avoid deadly heat” in Africa.
  • The Hong Kong Free Press reports on NGO calls for Hong Kong to strengthen its climate adaptation policies, “as the city is expected to endure an extremely hot summer this year”.
  • The Independent reports that invasive Asian hornet populations are “expected to soar as the UK experiences unusually hot weather”.

One day of extreme heat tied to 3,400 excess deaths in India, nearly 30,000 over five days: Study (Hindustan Times)

Temperatures have remained above 45 degrees Celsius in parts of Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and Haryana in recent days.

Original article

Updated on: May 29, 2026 4:42 PM IST

Written by Priyanjali Narayan

A day of extreme heat is associated with an estimated 3,400 excess deaths across India, while a heatwave lasting five consecutive days could lead to nearly 30,000 additional deaths, according to a new study.

Women cover themselves with scarf to beat the heat, in New Delhi on Thursday. (Jitender Gupta)
Women cover themselves with scarf to beat the heat, in New Delhi on Thursday. (Jitender Gupta)

The research, conducted by Piyush Narang and Ashok Gadgil of the India Energy and Climate Center at the University of California Berkeley, sought to address the lack of accessible district-level data on heatwave-related mortality in India, according to news agency PTI.

Also Read | ‘Extreme heat in India, a result of worsening climate change’

Multi-city finding of heat-related deaths

To estimate the impact nationwide, the researchers adapted findings from a multi-city study of heat-related deaths across 10 Indian cities and applied them to districts across the country.

Excess deaths refer to the number of deaths occurring above what would normally be expected based on historical trends.

Published in the journal Frontiers in Environmental Health, the study combined district-level mortality data from the Civil Registration System with 2024 population projections to estimate deaths linked to one-day and five-day heatwave events.

Also Read | Brutal June, above-normal heat wave days, rain forecast cut further: Key IMD projections

3,400 deaths nationally, 30,000 in five-days

“We estimate that a single day of extreme heat causes approximately 3,400 excess deaths nationally; a five-day heatwave causes nearly 30,000,” the authors wrote.

The findings come as heatwave to severe heatwave conditions continue across northern, central and eastern India.

Temperatures have remained above 45 degrees Celsius in parts of Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh and Haryana in recent days.

What areas were impacted most?

The analysis found that Uttar Pradesh alone could account for around 8,100 excess deaths during a five-day heatwave. Districts including Ahmedabad, Jaipur and Surat were projected to record more than 250 excess deaths each during a single heatwave event.

Researchers also identified a significant mismatch between mortality burden and economic capacity. Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Gujarat together accounted for 66 per cent of the country’s projected excess deaths during a five-day heatwave, despite contributing only 29 per cent of India’s GDP.

The researchers said the findings have important implications for India’s heat adaptation and resilience planning.

“The 2.3× GDP disproportion documented here provides a quantitative basis for arguing that federal adaptation investment, including funding under the National Disaster Management Authority and the National Action Plan on Climate Change, should be weighted toward high-burden, low-GDP states rather than allocated in proportion to population or administrative capacity,” they wrote.

100 most vulnerable districts

The study also found that the 100 most vulnerable districts, home to nearly one-third of India’s population, accounted for 44 per cent of projected excess deaths during a five-day heatwave.

Further, “heatwave mortality risk is not merely proportional to population size but is structurally concentrated in states with lower economic output (which are) precisely those with the least fiscal capacity to invest in adaptation,” the authors said.

They added that the district-level estimates are consistent with a growing body of epidemiological and modelling evidence indicating that South Asia, particularly India, faces heightened vulnerability to heat-related deaths.

(With PTI inputs)

India heatwave kills over 100 in Andhra Pradesh, Telangana as power, health systems strain (Carbon Brief)

Original article

May 27, 2026

Nithin Belle, Khaleej Times

Khaleej Times reports that more than 100 people have died “following the intense heatwave” in the southern Indian states of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. It adds that “[m]ore than a dozen districts saw temperatures above 45C” in Andhra Pradesh, with temperatures “soar[ing]” over 48C in its East and West Godavari regions. According to ETV Bharat, Telangana’s Warangal registered 23 heat deaths, the highest in the region. While national crime record data says Telangana recorded 116 heat deaths in 2024, the state’s 2026 heatwave action plan “places the deaths at just 10 for the same period”, according to the New Indian Express, sparking concern that “the true human cost of extreme heat may remain invisible in official records”. In the neighbouring eastern state of Odisha, the state government confirmed that three people died of sunstroke, reports the New Indian Express.

Meanwhile, doctors tell the Independent that health impacts are “getting worse” because of record night-time temperatures, with Delhi recording “its warmest May night in almost 14 years” this week. As temperatures approach 46C in the capital today, authorities warn that heatwave conditions will continue over large parts of central and north-western India, says the Indian Express. According to Down to Earth, the current heatwave is pushing India’s power grid into “uncharted territory”, with “residential cooling demand now overtaking industrial demand growth in several regions”. An opinion piece in the Hindustan Times by health researchers argues that heat mortality is not caused by “temperature alone”, but “infrastructure design failure” and “severely limited access to cooling”.